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San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (San Juan Basin Royalty Trust) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $0.05 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), San Juan Basin Royalty Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.05. The stock price of San Juan Basin Royalty Trust is $4.55. Therefore, San Juan Basin Royalty Trust's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 91.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for San Juan Basin Royalty Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SJT' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 27.6   Med: 62.92   Max: 228.4
Current: 91

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of San Juan Basin Royalty Trust was 228.40. The lowest was 27.60. And the median was 62.92.

SJT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
99.85% of 679 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.85 vs SJT: 91.00

San Juan Basin Royalty Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for San Juan Basin Royalty Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

San Juan Basin Royalty Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.09 0.09 0.06 0.05 0.05

San Juan Basin Royalty Trust Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.05 - - - 0.05

Competitive Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, San Juan Basin Royalty Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


San Juan Basin Royalty Trust Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, San Juan Basin Royalty Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where San Juan Basin Royalty Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



San Juan Basin Royalty Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get San Juan Basin Royalty Trust's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $0.00.

San Juan Basin Royalty Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*0+2.753*0.8)/46.609
=0.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


San Juan Basin Royalty Trust  (NYSE:SJT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

San Juan Basin Royalty Trust's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=4.55/0.047252676521702
=96.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


San Juan Basin Royalty Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (San Juan Basin Royalty Trust) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2200 Post Oak Boulevard, Floor 18, Houston, TX, USA, 77056
San Juan Basin Royalty Trust is an energy sector royalty trust in the United States. It owns approximately 75% net profit interest in a large number of natural gas properties in the San Juan Basin of New Mexico. About 98% of the royalties San Juan collects come from natural gas, with the balance coming from oil.
Executives
J Taylor Crandall 10 percent owner 2775 SAND HILL RD, SUITE 220, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Bruce Robert W Iii 10 percent owner
Algenpar Inc 10 percent owner
Alpine Capital Lp 10 percent owner