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Strattec Security (Strattec Security) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $45.70 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Strattec Security's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $45.70. The stock price of Strattec Security is $22.48. Therefore, Strattec Security's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Strattec Security's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

STRT' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.39   Med: 1.26   Max: 3.68
Current: 0.49

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Strattec Security was 3.68. The lowest was 0.39. And the median was 1.26.

STRT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
81.29% of 887 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.05 vs STRT: 0.49

Strattec Security Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Strattec Security's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Strattec Security Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.35 25.71 40.80 41.37 47.01

Strattec Security Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 45.33 44.85 47.01 44.51 45.70

Competitive Comparison

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Strattec Security's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Strattec Security Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Strattec Security's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Strattec Security's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Strattec Security Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Strattec Security's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $3.11.

Strattec Security's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*3.11056+191.39*0.8)/3.998
=45.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Strattec Security  (NAS:STRT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Strattec Security's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=22.48/45.704258344258
=0.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Strattec Security Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Strattec Security (Strattec Security) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3333 West Good Hope Road, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53209
Strattec Security Corp designs develops, manufactures and markets mechanical locks, electronically enhanced locks and keys. It also produces ignition lock housings; access control products, including latches, power sliding door systems, and door handles. Strattec ships products to customer locations in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Europe, South America, Korea and China, and provides full-service aftermarket support. Strattec also supplies products for the heavy truck and recreational vehicle markets, as well as precision, die castings.
Executives
Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al 10 percent owner 191 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Liebau Frederic Jack Jr director P.O. BOX 2200, PASADENA CA 91102-2200
Bruce M Lisman director C/O MERCHANTS BANK, 275 KENNEDY DR, S. BURLINGTON VT 05403
Richard P Messina officer: VP-Strattec Power Access LLC C/O STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION, 3333 WEST GOOD HOPE ROAD, MILWAUKEE WI 53209
Ggcp, Inc. 10 percent owner 189 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Associated Capital Group, Inc. 10 percent owner 191 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Mario J Gabelli 10 percent owner 191 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Dennis Bowe officer: Vice President and CFO 3333 WEST GOOD HOPE ROAD, MILWAUKEE WI 53209
Patrick J Hansen officer: Vice Pres., CFO and Secretary C/O MACHTEN, INC., 1516 BARLOW STREET, SUITE D, TRAVERSE CITY MI 49686
Frank Krejci director
Tina M Chang director 375 BISHOPS WAY, SUITE 105, BROOKFIELD WI 53005
Stratton Harold M Ii director, officer: Chairman of the Board & CEO P.O. BOX 8057, NAPLES FL 34101
Al-waleed H. Hamdan officer: VP of Product Management 3333 WEST GOOD HOPE ROAD, MILWAUKEE WI 53209
Rolando Guillot officer: Vice Pres.-Mexican Operations C/O STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION, 3333 WEST GOOD HOPE ROAD, MILWAUKEE WI 53209
Brian J Reetz officer: VP - Security Products C/O STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION, 3333 WEST GOOD HOPE ROAD, MILWAUKEE WI 53209