Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-04-19), Constellation Brands's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $126.68. The stock price of Constellation Brands is $260.70. Therefore, Constellation Brands's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.1.
The historical rank and industry rank for Constellation Brands's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
STZ'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.56 Med: 2.13 Max: 2.8
Current: 2.06
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Constellation Brands was 2.80. The lowest was 1.56. And the median was 2.13.
STZ's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 72.9% of 155
companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1.28
vs STZ: 2.06
Constellation Brands Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
The historical data trend for Constellation Brands's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
Constellation Brands Annual Data
Trend
Feb15
Feb16
Feb17
Feb18
Feb19
Feb20
Feb21
Feb22
Feb23
Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
101.01
77.32
116.93
101.51
126.68
Constellation Brands Quarterly Data
May19
Aug19
Nov19
Feb20
May20
Aug20
Nov20
Feb21
May21
Aug21
Nov21
Feb22
May22
Aug22
Nov22
Feb23
May23
Aug23
Nov23
Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
101.51
118.45
125.71
126.40
126.68
Competitive Comparison
For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Constellation Brands's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Constellation Brands Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution
For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Constellation Brands's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Constellation Brands's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Constellation Brands's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
260.70
/
126.67857609985
=
2.06
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Constellation Brands Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Constellation Brands's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Constellation Brands (Constellation Brands) Business Description
Constellation Brands is the largest provider of alcoholic beverages across the beer, wine, and spirits categories in the U.S., generating 80% of revenue from Mexican beer imports under top-selling brands such as Modelo and Corona. The rest of the business includes some remaining wine and spirits brands, categories where the company continue to prune assets in recent years. With its exclusive rights tied to the Mexican beer brands effective only in the U.S., the firm has small revenue exposure to international markets. Constellation owns a 36% stake in no-moat Canopy Growth, a medicinal and recreational cannabis producer in Canada, and has a 50/50 joint venture with glass manufacturer Owens-Illinois in Mexico.
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