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Sunoco LP (Sunoco LP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $43.52 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-18), Sunoco LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $43.52. The stock price of Sunoco LP is $54.37. Therefore, Sunoco LP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sunoco LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SUN' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.91   Med: 1.04   Max: 1.5
Current: 1.25

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Sunoco LP was 1.50. The lowest was 0.91. And the median was 1.04.

SUN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
68.78% of 679 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.86 vs SUN: 1.25

Sunoco LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sunoco LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sunoco LP Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.79 31.64 40.29 47.31 43.52

Sunoco LP Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 47.31 53.11 51.02 50.55 43.52

Competitive Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Sunoco LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sunoco LP Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Sunoco LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sunoco LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Sunoco LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Sunoco LP's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $250.40.

Sunoco LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.693231243548*250.4+978*0.8)/85.262
=43.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sunoco LP  (NYSE:SUN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Sunoco LP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=54.37/43.517453301406
=1.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sunoco LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Sunoco LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Sunoco LP (Sunoco LP) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Sunoco LP (NYSE:SUN) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
8111 Westchester Drive, Suite 400, Dallas, TX, USA, 75225
Sunoco LP is a Delaware limited partnership formed in June 2012 by Susser Holdings Corporation or SUSS. In September 2012, the Company completed its initial public offering. The Company, along with its wholly owned subsidiary, is an independent motor fuel distributor by gallons in Texas, and among the distributors of Valero and Chevron branded motor fuel in the United States. The Company also receives rental income from real estate that it leases or subleases. SUSS operated approximately 580 retail convenience stores under its proprietary Stripes convenience store brand at year-end, mainly in growing Texas markets. Stripes is an independent chain of convenience stores in Texas based on store count and retail motor fuel volumes sold. Its business is integral to the success of SUSS' retail operations, and SUSS purchases substantially all of its motor fuel from the Company. In addition to distributing motor fuel, it also distributes other petroleum products such as propane and lube oil, and receives rental income from real estate that it leases or subleases. The Company purchases motor fuel mainly from independent refiners and oil companies and distributes it throughout Texas and in Louisiana, New Mexico and Oklahoma. The Company competes mainly with other independent motor fuel distributors. The Company is subject to various federal, state and local environmental laws and regulations, including those relating to underground storage tanks; the release or discharge of hazardous materials into the air, water and soil; the generation, storage, handling, use, transportation and disposal of regulated materials; the exposure of persons to regulated materials; and the remediation of contaminated soil and groundwater.
Executives
Arnold Dodderer officer: General Counsel 8020 PARK LANE, DALLAS TX 75231
Joseph Kim officer: EVP-Chief Development Officer 8020 PARK LANE, DALLAS TX 75231
Austin Harkness officer: SVP - Pricing & REO 8111 WESTCHESTER DRIVE., SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75225
Ray W Washburne director 47 HIGHLAND PARK VILLAGE, SUITE 200, DALLAS TX 75205
Matthew S. Ramsey director 6002 DEERWOOD, HOUSTON TX 77057
David K Skidmore director 400 N. SAINT PAUL ST., STE. 800, DALLAS TX 75201
Imad K. Anbouba director 10440 N CENTRAL EXPWAY, SUITE 1010, DALLAS TX 75231
Dylan Bramhall officer: CFO 8111 WESTCHESTER DRIVE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75225
Rick Raymer officer: VP & Controller & POA 8020 PARK LANE, SUITE 200, DALLAS TX 75231
Alison Gladwin officer: SVP, Marketing & Admin. 8111 WESTCHESTER DRIVE, SUITE 400, DALLAS TX 75225
Karl R Fails officer: EVP, Supply & Trading 8111 WESTCHESTER DRIVE, SUITE 500, DALLAS TX 75225
Brian A Hand officer: SVP-Chief Dev. & Mktg. Officer 910 BEECHWOOD LANE, FAIRVIEW TX 75069
Christopher Curia director, officer: Sr. VP - Human Resources 1250 VIA MILANO, SAN ANTONIO TX 78260
Thomas R Miller officer: CFO 2030 DONAHUE FERRY ROAD, PINEVILLE LA 71360
Camilla A. Harris officer: VP, Controller & PAO 8020 PARK LANE, DALLAS TX 75231