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AT&T (T) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $41.73 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-16), AT&T's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $41.73. The stock price of AT&T is $16.24. Therefore, AT&T's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for AT&T's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

T' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.39   Med: 0.56   Max: 0.81
Current: 0.39

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of AT&T was 0.81. The lowest was 0.39. And the median was 0.56.

T's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
85% of 280 companies
in the Telecommunication Services industry
Industry Median: 1 vs T: 0.39

AT&T Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for AT&T's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AT&T Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 43.93 45.88 46.52 38.26 41.73

AT&T Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 38.26 38.63 41.02 41.60 41.73

Competitive Comparison

For the Telecom Services subindustry, AT&T's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AT&T Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, AT&T's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AT&T's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



AT&T Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get AT&T's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $22,840.96.

AT&T's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*22840.96+103297*0.8)/7192.000
=41.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


AT&T  (NYSE:T) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

AT&T's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=16.24/41.725746661481
=0.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


AT&T Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of AT&T's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


AT&T (T) Business Description

Address
208 S. Akard Street, Dallas, TX, USA, 75202
The wireless business contributes about two thirds of AT&T's revenue following the spinoff of Warner Media. The firm is the third-largest U.S. wireless carrier, connecting 70 million postpaid and 18 million prepaid phone customers. Fixed-line enterprise services, which account for about 18% of revenue, include internet access, private networking, security, voice, and wholesale network capacity. Residential fixed-line services, about 11% of revenue, primarily consist of broadband internet access service. AT&T also has a sizable presence in Mexico, serving 22 million customers, but this business only accounts for 3% of revenue. The firm still holds a 70% equity stake in satellite television provider DirecTV but does not consolidate this business in its financial statements.
Executives
Sanders S Sabrina officer: SVP-ChiefActngOfcr&Controller 208 S. AKARD ST., 29TH FLOOR, DALLAS TX 75202
Debra L. Dial officer: SVP-ChiefActngOfcr&Controller 208 S. AKARD, 29TH FLOOR, DALLAS TX 75202
Jeremy Alan Legg officer: Chief Technology Officer 208 S. AKARD STREET, DALLAS TX 75202
Kenny Kellyn Smith officer: Chief Marketing & Growth Ofcr 208 S. AKARD ST, 29TH FLOOR, DALLAS TX 75202
Edward W Gillespie officer: SrEVP-Ext & Legal Affairs 208 S. AKARD, DALLAS TX 75202
Angela Santone officer: Sr. Exec VP-Human Resources 208 S. AKARD ST, DALLAS TX 75202
Jeffery S. Mcelfresh officer: CEO, AT&T Communications, LLC 208 S. AKARD, 29TH FLOOR, DALLAS TX 75202
Mcatee David R Ii officer: Sr. Exec. VP and Gen. Counsel 208 S. AKARD, 29TH FLOOR, DALLAS TX 75202
David S. Huntley officer: SEVP&Chief Compliance Officer 208 S. AKARD, ROOM 2900;07, DALLAS TX 75202
Lori M Lee officer: CEO-AT&T LatAm&GlobalMktgOfcr 208 S. AKARD ST., 29TH FLOOR, DALLAS TX 75202
Pascal Desroches officer: Sr. Exec VP and CFO AT&T INC., 208 S AKARD STREET, DALLAS TX 75202
Stephen J Luczo director
Luis A Ubinas director 209 REDWOOD SHORES PARKWAY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065-1175
John T Stankey officer: Sr. Exec. VP and CIO 208 S. AKARD ST., 29TH FLOOR, DALLAS TX 75202
Jason Kilar officer: CEO, Warner Media, LLC 208 S. AKARD ST, DALLAS TX 75202

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