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TJX (TJX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $35.44 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), TJX's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $35.44. The stock price of TJX is $93.36. Therefore, TJX's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for TJX's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TJX' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.54   Med: 1.88   Max: 2.72
Current: 2.63

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of TJX was 2.72. The lowest was 1.54. And the median was 1.88.

TJX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
87.76% of 719 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.79 vs TJX: 2.63

TJX Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for TJX's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Array ( [0] => - [1] => - [2] => - [3] => - [4] => - [5] => 30.86 [6] => 25.12 [7] => 27.57 [8] => 30.14 [9] => 35.44 )
TJX Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.86 25.12 27.57 30.14 35.44

TJX Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.14 29.42 30.33 31.19 35.44

Competitive Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, TJX's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TJX Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, TJX's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TJX's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



TJX Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get TJX's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $3,142.54.

TJX's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jan24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.145567245439*3142.53712+7302*0.8)/1153.000
=35.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


TJX  (NYSE:TJX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

TJX's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=93.36/35.44402323699
=2.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


TJX Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of TJX's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


TJX (TJX) Business Description

Address
770 Cochituate Road, Framingham, MA, USA, 01701
TJX Companies is the leading off-price retailer of apparel, accessories, and home merchandise in the United States. The firm leverages its more than 21,000 global vendor relationships to procure and sell brand-name merchandise at prices 20%-60% cheaper than conventional retail channels. TJX opportunistically purchases excess inventory that stems from manufacturing overruns and retail closeout sales. The off-price retailer disperses its vast and disparate merchandise across its 4,900 global stores, creating a treasure-hunt shopping experience for consumers. Over three quarters of TJX's sales are derived from the United States, primarily via the T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods banners. About 10% of sales are from Canada and 12% from Europe and Australia.
Executives
Ernie Herrman officer: SEVP, President, Marmaxx 770 COCHITUATE ROAD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Wagner Charles F Jr director C/O MILLIPORE CORP, BILLERICA MA 01820
Carol Meyrowitz officer: President -- Marmaxx Group TJX COMPANIES INC, 770 COCHITUATE RD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Kenneth Canestrari officer: SEVP - Group President THE TJX COMPANIES, INC., 770 COCHITUATE ROAD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Scott Goldenberg officer: EVP, CFO THE TJX COMPANIES, INC., 770 COCHITUATE ROAD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
John Klinger officer: EVP, CFO C/O THE TJX COMPANIES, INC., 770 COCHITUATE ROAD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Louise Greenlees officer: SEVP - Group President C/O THE TJX COMPANIES, INC., 770 COCHITUATE ROAD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Amy B Lane director 1626 EAST JEFFERSON ST, ROCKVILLE MD 20852
Richard Sherr officer: SEVP, Group President THE TJX COMPANIES, INC., 770 COCHITUATE ROAD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
C Kim Goodwin director C/O AKAMAI TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 8 CAMBRIDGE CENTER, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Zein Abdalla director 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, LEGAL DEPARTMENT, 1/2, PURCHASE NY 10577
Michael F Hines director
Rosemary T Berkery director MERRILL LYNCH CORPORATE SECRETARY, 222 BROADWAY, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10038
David T Ching director C/O SAFEWAY INC, 5918 STONERIDGE MALL ROAD, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Douglas W. Mizzi officer: SEVP - Group President THE TJX COMPANIES, INC., 770 COCHITUATE ROAD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701

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