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Tootsie Roll Industries (Tootsie Roll Industries) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $21.66 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), Tootsie Roll Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $21.66. The stock price of Tootsie Roll Industries is $30.59. Therefore, Tootsie Roll Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tootsie Roll Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TR' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.28   Med: 1.61   Max: 2.24
Current: 1.41

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Tootsie Roll Industries was 2.24. The lowest was 1.28. And the median was 1.61.

TR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
60.67% of 1223 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.12 vs TR: 1.41

Tootsie Roll Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tootsie Roll Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tootsie Roll Industries Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Take a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.67 17.86 17.35 17.94 21.66

Tootsie Roll Industries Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Take a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.94 16.85 16.19 18.25 21.66

Competitive Comparison

For the Confectioners subindustry, Tootsie Roll Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tootsie Roll Industries Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Tootsie Roll Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tootsie Roll Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Tootsie Roll Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Tootsie Roll Industries's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $64.00.

Tootsie Roll Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.878285919786*63.99696+823.422*0.8)/71.422
=21.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Tootsie Roll Industries  (NYSE:TR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Tootsie Roll Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=30.59/21.658672522151
=1.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Tootsie Roll Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Tootsie Roll Industries (Tootsie Roll Industries) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7401 South Cicero Avenue, Chicago, IL, USA, 60629
Tootsie Roll Industries Inc manufactures and sells candy products. Notable varieties include Tootsie Roll and Tootsie Pops, Charms, Blow-Pops, Dots, Junior Mints, Sugar Daddy and Sugar Babies, Andes, Dubble Bubble, and Razzles. The company sells its products to wholesale distributors and directly to retail stores. Geographically, it generates a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Henry G Mills officer: Vice President C/O TOOTSIE ROLL INDUSTRIES, INC., 7401 S. CICERO AVE, CHICAGO IL 60629
Leigh R Weiner 10 percent owner
Virginia L Gordon director C/O TOOTSIE ROLL INDUSTRIES, INC., 7401 S. CICERO AVE, CHICAGO IL 60629
Stephen Green officer: VP Manufacturing C/O TOOTAIE ROLL INDUSTRIES, INC., 7401 S. CICERO AVE., CHICAGO IL 60629
Ellen R Gordon director, 10 percent owner, officer: President
Lewis Brent Lana Jane director
Newlin John W. Jr. officer: Vice President-Mfg. C/O TOOTSIE ROLL INDUSTRIES, INC., 7401 S. CICERO AVENUE, CHICAGO IL 60629
Barre A Seibert director C/O TOOTSIE ROLL INDUSTRIES, INC., 7401 S. CICERO AVE, CHICAGO IL 60629
G Howard Ember officer: CFO
John P Majors officer: VP-Logistics TOOTSIE ROLL INDUSTRIES, INC., 7401 S. CICERO AVE., CHICAGO IL 60629
Melvin J Gordon director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman