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The Wendy's Co (The Wendy's Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $14.37 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), The Wendy's Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.37. The stock price of The Wendy's Co is $19.11. Therefore, The Wendy's Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Wendy's Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

WEN' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.32   Med: 2.65   Max: 4.46
Current: 1.33

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of The Wendy's Co was 4.46. The lowest was 1.32. And the median was 2.65.

WEN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
52.75% of 218 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.38 vs WEN: 1.33

The Wendy's Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Wendy's Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Wendy's Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.15 8.53 11.37 14.35 14.37

The Wendy's Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.35 14.38 14.60 14.60 14.37

Competitive Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, The Wendy's Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Wendy's Co Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, The Wendy's Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Wendy's Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



The Wendy's Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get The Wendy's Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $213.96.

The Wendy's Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.782718065916*213.9624+309.779*0.8)/207.577
=14.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Wendy's Co  (NAS:WEN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

The Wendy's Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=19.11/14.3698205288
=1.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Wendy's Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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The Wendy's Co (The Wendy's Co) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Dave Thomas Boulevard, Dublin, OH, USA, 43017
The Wendy's Company is the second-largest burger quick-service restaurant, or QSR, chain in the United States by systemwide sales, with $11.7 billion in 2022, narrowly edging Burger King ($10.3 billion) and clocking in well behind wide-moat McDonald's ($48.1 billion). After divestitures of Tim Hortons (2006) and Arby's (2011), the firm manages just the burger banner, generating sales across a footprint that spanned almost 7,100 total units in 30 countries as of year-end 2022. Wendy's generates revenue from the sale of hamburgers, chicken sandwiches, salads, and fries throughout its company-owned footprint, through franchise royalty and marketing fund payments remitted by its franchisees, which account for 94% of stores, and through franchise flipping and advisory fees.
Executives
Joseph A Levato director C/O THE WENDY'S COMPANY, ONE DAVE THOMAS BLVD., DUBLIN OH 43017
Trian Fund Management, L.p. other: Schedule 13D Filer 280 PARK AVENUE, 41ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Kenneth W Gilbert director C/O THE WENDY'S COMPANY, ONE DAVE THOMAS BLVD., DUBLIN OH 43017
Michelle Caruso-cabrera director C/O THE WENDY'S COMPANY, ONE DAVE THOMAS BLVD., DUBLIN OH 43017
Liliana Esposito officer: Chief Communications Officer ONE DAVE THOMAS BLVD., DUBLIN OH 43017
Nelson Peltz director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO 223 SUNSET AVENUE, PALM BEACH FL 33480
Edward P Garden officer: Executive Vice President 223 SUNSET AVENUE, PALM BEACH FL 33480
Peter W May director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and COO 223 SUNSET AVENUE, PALM BEACH FL 33480
Matthew H. Peltz director 280 PARK AVENUE, 41ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Trian Partners Master Fund, L.p. other: Schedule 13D Filer 280 PARK AVENUE, 41ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Deepak Ajmani officer: Chief Operations Officer - U.S C/O THE WENDY'S COMPANY, ONE DAVE THOMAS BLVD., DUBLIN OH 43017
Juan Carlos Loredo officer: Global Chief Marketing Officer C/O THE WENDY'S COMPANY, ONE DAVE THOMAS BLVD., DUBLIN OH 43017
Suzanne M. Thuerk officer: Chief Accounting Officer ONE DAVE THOMAS BLVD., C/O THE WENDY'S COMPANY, DUBLIN OH 43017
Richard H. Gomez director 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
O'brien Matthew Coley officer: Chief People Officer ONE DAVE THOMAS BLVD., DUBLIN OH 43017