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United States Steel (United States Steel) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $54.31 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), United States Steel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $54.31. The stock price of United States Steel is $38.59. Therefore, United States Steel's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for United States Steel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

X' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.42   Med: 1.02   Max: 2.89
Current: 0.71

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of United States Steel was 2.89. The lowest was 0.42. And the median was 1.02.

X's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
51.26% of 476 companies
in the Steel industry
Industry Median: 0.735 vs X: 0.71

United States Steel Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for United States Steel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

United States Steel Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.43 10.40 39.99 55.38 54.31

United States Steel Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 55.38 52.75 56.46 57.13 54.31

Competitive Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, United States Steel's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


United States Steel Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, United States Steel's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where United States Steel's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



United States Steel Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get United States Steel's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $533.28.

United States Steel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*533.28+11047*0.8)/256.200
=54.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


United States Steel  (NYSE:X) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

United States Steel's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=38.59/54.311526538236
=0.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


United States Steel Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of United States Steel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


United States Steel (United States Steel) Business Description

Industry
Address
600 Grant Street, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15219-2800
United States Steel Corp operates primarily in the United States but also has a steelmaking capacity in Slovakia. The company's operating segments include North American Flat-Rolled (Flat-Rolled), Mini Mill, U. S. Steel Europe (USSE), and Tubular Products (Tubular). The Flat-Rolled segment includes U. S. Steel's integrated steel plants and equity investees in North America involved in the production of slabs, strip mill plates, sheets, and tin mill products, as well as all iron ore and coke production facilities in the United States. It primarily serves North American customers in the service center, conversion, transportation, construction, container, and appliance, and electrical markets.
Executives
Daniel R Brown officer: SVP Adv. Tech. Steelmaking 600 GRANT STREET, SUITE 1844, C/O UNITED STATES STEEL CORPORATION, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
David B Burritt officer: Exec. VP and CFO 600 GRANT STREET, SUITE 1500, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Scott D Buckiso officer: VP Euro Solutions & Pres USSK 600 GRANT STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Kenneth E Jaycox officer: SVP & Chief Comm. Officer 600 GRANT STREET, SUITE 6100, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
James E. Bruno officer: Sr VP, Automotive Solutions 600 GRANT STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Duane D Holloway officer: SVP, GC, CCO & Corp. Sec C/O UNITED STATES STEEL CORPORATION, 600 GRANT STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Alicia J. Davis director 21557 TELEGRAPH ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48033
Andrea J. Ayers director STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, IN., 1000 STANLEY DRIVE, NEW BRITAIN CT 06053
Richard Fruehauf officer: Deputy Gen Counsel - Corporate 600 GRANT STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Jessica Graziano officer: SVP & Chief Financial Officer C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC, 100 FIRST STAMFORD PL, STAMFORD CT 06902
Manpreet Grewal officer: VP, Controller & CAO 600 GRANT STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Christine S Breves officer: VP & Supply Chain Officer 600 GRANT STREET, SUITE 6100, PITTSBURGH PA 16059
Terry L Dunlap director 1000 SIX PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Tracy A Atkinson director MFS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, 500 BOYLSTON ST., BOSTON MA 02116
Jeh C. Johnson director 77 BEALE ST., P.O. BOX 770000, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94177