ConocoPhillips (ConocoPhillips) Peter Lynch Fair Value : $172.25 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)

ConocoPhillips Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

ConocoPhillips Annual Data
	Trend	Dec14	Dec15	Dec16	Dec17	Dec18	Dec19	Dec20	Dec21	Dec22	Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value		Get a 7-Day Free Trial					126.60	-	86.87	240.04	172.25

ConocoPhillips Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															240.04	199.89	155.51	152.70	172.25

Competitive Comparison of ConocoPhillips's Peter Lynch Fair Value

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, ConocoPhillips's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

ConocoPhillips's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, ConocoPhillips's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ConocoPhillips's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.

ConocoPhillips Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

ConocoPhillips's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

ConocoPhillips's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $8.84.

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

ConocoPhillips  (NYSE:COP) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 19.49 instead of 15 in this case.

ConocoPhillips's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

ConocoPhillips Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

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ConocoPhillips (ConocoPhillips) Business Description