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Forestar Group (Forestar Group) Peter Lynch Fair Value

: $91.75 (As of Today)
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Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Forestar Group's PEG is 1. Forestar Group's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 25. Forestar Group's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was $3.67. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $91.75.

As of today (2024-04-23), Forestar Group's share price is $31.47. Forestar Group's Peter Lynch fair value is $91.75. Therefore, Forestar Group's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 0.34.


The historical rank and industry rank for Forestar Group's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

FOR' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.13   Med: 0.33   Max: 5.66
Current: 0.34


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Forestar Group was 5.66. The lowest was 0.13. And the median was 0.33.


FOR's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked better than
78.21% of 358 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 0.745 vs FOR: 0.34

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Forestar Group Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for Forestar Group's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Forestar Group Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 88.53 82.65

Forestar Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 78.38 67.88 72.15 82.65 91.75

Competitive Comparison

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Forestar Group's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Forestar Group Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Forestar Group's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Forestar Group's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



Forestar Group Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Forestar Group's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 25 *3.67
=91.75

Forestar Group's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $3.67.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


Forestar Group  (NYSE:FOR) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 25 instead of 15 in this case.

Forestar Group's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=31.47/91.75
=0.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Forestar Group Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Forestar Group's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Forestar Group (Forestar Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2221 E. Lamar Boulevard, Suite 790, Arlington, TX, USA, 76006
Forestar Group Inc is a residential lot development company with operations across the United States. The core business segment for the company is real estate which generates all of it's revenues. The firm fundamentally acquires entitled real estate and develops it into finished residential lots for sale to homebuilders with a strategic focus on asset turns and efficiency. Single-family residential communities account for the majority of their real estate projects. The company utilizes a lower-risk business model mainly by investing in short duration, phased development projects.
Executives
Daniel C Bartok officer: CEO 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD., SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
Ringler G.f. (rick) Iii director 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD., SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
Elizabeth Parmer director 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD., SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
Mark Stephen Walker officer: Chief Operating Officer 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD., SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
James Douglas Allen officer: Chief Financial Officer 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD. SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
Lisa H. Jamieson director 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD., SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
Samuel R Fuller director 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD., SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
Donald C Spitzer director 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD., SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
Bill W Wheat officer: Principal Financial Officer 1361 HORTON CIRCLE, ARLINGTON TX 76011
Aron M. Odom officer: Principal Accounting Officer 1341 HORTON CIRCLE, ARLINGTON TX 76011
Charles D Jehl officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O OPEN LENDING CORPORATION, 1501 S. MOPAC EXPRESSWAY, SUITE 450, AUSTIN TX 78746
M Ashton Hudson director 9995 GATE PARKWAY, SUITE 330, JACKSONVILLE FL 32246
Donald J Tomnitz director, officer: Chairman 2221 E. LAMAR BLVD., SUITE 790, ARLINGTON TX 76006
Richard D. Squires director 3889 MAPLE AVENUE, SUITE 1525, DALLAS TX 75219
Michael J. Quinley officer: President 6300 BEE CAVE ROAD, BLDG 2, SUITE 500, AUSTIN TX 78746