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Keurig Green Mountain Inc (NAS:GMCR)
Peter Lynch Fair Value
\$75.00 (As of Today)

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. The growth rate we use is the average growth rate for earnings per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Keurig Green Mountain Inc's PEG is 1. Keurig Green Mountain Inc's 5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 25. Keurig Green Mountain Inc's Earnings Per Share without Non-Recurring Items (NRI) for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2015 was \$3.00. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is \$75.00.

As of today, Keurig Green Mountain Inc's share price is \$91.67. Keurig Green Mountain Inc's Peter Lynch fair value is \$75.00. Therefore, Keurig Green Mountain Inc's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 1.22.

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.

Definition

Keurig Green Mountain Inc's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

 Peter Lynch Fair Value = PEG * 5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate * Earnings Per Share (NRI) (TTM) = 1 * 25 * 3 = 75.00

Keurig Green Mountain Inc's Earnings Per Share (NRI) for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2015 was 0.97 (Mar. 2015 ) + 0.73 (Jun. 2015 ) + 0.61 (Sep. 2015 ) + 0.69 (Dec. 2015 ) = \$3.00.

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate. EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. The growth rate we use is the average growth rate for earnings per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA over the past 5 years, which is 25 instead of 15 in this case.

Keurig Green Mountain Inc's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

 Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value = Share Price / Peter Lynch Fair Value = 91.67 / 75.00 = 1.22

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Related Terms

Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Keurig Green Mountain Inc Annual Data

 Sep06 Sep07 Sep08 Sep09 Sep10 Sep11 Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 lynchvalue 0.94 1.88 4.44 11.25 14.25 32.50 57.00 79.00 93.50 78.25

Keurig Green Mountain Inc Quarterly Data

 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 lynchvalue 79.00 84.25 88.25 92.75 93.50 91.25 89.75 84.50 78.25 75.00
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