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Ulta Beauty (Ulta Beauty) Peter Lynch Fair Value

: $565.75 (As of Today)
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Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Ulta Beauty's PEG is 1. Ulta Beauty's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 21.61. Ulta Beauty's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024 was $26.18. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $565.75.

As of today (2024-04-19), Ulta Beauty's share price is $413.24. Ulta Beauty's Peter Lynch fair value is $565.75. Therefore, Ulta Beauty's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 0.73.


The historical rank and industry rank for Ulta Beauty's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

ULTA' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.73   Med: 1.28   Max: 3.59
Current: 0.73


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Ulta Beauty was 3.59. The lowest was 0.73. And the median was 1.28.


ULTA's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked better than
61.24% of 338 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 1.03 vs ULTA: 0.73

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Ulta Beauty Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ulta Beauty's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ulta Beauty Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 254.67 - 101.23 333.37 565.75

Ulta Beauty Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Peter Lynch Fair Value Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 333.37 395.70 452.42 491.07 565.75

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Ulta Beauty's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ulta Beauty Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ulta Beauty's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ulta Beauty's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



Ulta Beauty Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Ulta Beauty's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 21.61 *26.18
=565.75

Ulta Beauty's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $26.18.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


Ulta Beauty  (NAS:ULTA) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 21.61 instead of 15 in this case.

Ulta Beauty's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=413.24/565.75
=0.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ulta Beauty Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ulta Beauty's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ulta Beauty (Ulta Beauty) Business Description

Address
1000 Remington Boulevard, Suite 120, Bolingbrook, IL, USA, 60440
With 1,355 stores at the end of fiscal 2022 and a partnership with Target, Ulta Beauty is the largest specialized beauty retailer in the U.S. The firm offers makeup (42% of 2022 sales), fragrances, skin care, and hair care products (21% of 2022 sales), and bath and body items. Ulta offers private-label products and merchandise from more than 500 vendors. It also offers salon services, including hair, makeup, skin, and brow services, in all stores. Most Ulta stores are approximately 10,000 square feet and are in suburban strip centers. Ulta was founded in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois.
Executives
Lorna Nagler director 2400 XENIUM LANE NORTH, PLYMOUTH MN 55441
Jodi J Caro officer: GC and Corporate Secretary 130 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, CHICAGO IL 60601
Catherine Ann Halligan director 243 CASELLI AVENUE, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94114
Mrkonic George R Jr director C/O BORDERS GROUP INC, 100 PHOENIX DRIVE, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Kelly E Garcia director 30 FRANK LLOYD WRIGH DR, ANN ARBOR MI 48105
Heidi G Petz director 101 W. PROSPECT AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44115
Gisel Ruiz director C/O VITAL FARMS, INC., 3601 SOUTH CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE C100, AUSTIN TX 78704
Mike C. Smith director STITCH FIX, INC., ONE MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 1500, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Michael R Macdonald director 810 DSW DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43219
Patricia A Little director 999 W BIG BEAVER ROAD, TROY MI 48084
Michelle L Collins director C/O MOLEX INCORPORATED, 2222 WELLINGTON COURT, LISLE IL 60503
Anita Jane Ryan officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 1000 REMINGTON BLVD., SUITE 120, BOLINGBROOK IL 60440
David C Kimbell director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 8410 W. BRYN MAWR, CHICAGO IL 60631
Scott M Settersten officer: Chief Financial Officer 1000 REMINGTON BLVD., SUITE 120, BOLINGBROOK IL 60440
Kecia Steelman officer: Chief Operating Officer 1000 REMINGTON BLVD SUITE 120, BOLINGBROOK IL 60440

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