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Post Holdings (Post Holdings) Peter Lynch Fair Value

: $80.70 (As of Today)
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Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Post Holdings's PEG is 1. Post Holdings's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 14.27. Post Holdings's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was $5.66. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $80.70.

As of today (2024-04-23), Post Holdings's share price is $105.15. Post Holdings's Peter Lynch fair value is $80.70. Therefore, Post Holdings's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 1.30.


The historical rank and industry rank for Post Holdings's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

POST' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.73   Med: 3.85   Max: 100.38
Current: 1.3


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Post Holdings was 100.38. The lowest was 0.73. And the median was 3.85.


POST's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
58.61% of 546 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.02 vs POST: 1.30

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Post Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for Post Holdings's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Post Holdings Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 24.28 9.34 7.89 72.62

Post Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.48 43.92 58.12 72.62 80.70

Competitive Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Post Holdings's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Post Holdings Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Post Holdings's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Post Holdings's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



Post Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Post Holdings's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 14.27 *5.655
=80.70

Post Holdings's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $5.66.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


Post Holdings  (NYSE:POST) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 14.27 instead of 15 in this case.

Post Holdings's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=105.15/80.70
=1.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Post Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Post Holdings's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Post Holdings (Post Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2503 South Hanley Road, St. Louis, MO, USA, 63144
Post Holdings Inc is an consumer packaged goods holding company. It operates in Post Consumer Brands which Includes branded and private label ready-to-eat cereals, Weetabix it Includes the businesses of Weetabix Limited, which Post acquired in July 2017 and which produces and distributes branded and private label RTE cereal, hot cereals and other cereal-based food products, Foodservice which Includes primarily egg and potato products in the foodservice and food ingredient channels from the businesses of MFI Holding Corporation, lastly Refrigerated Retail segment Provides refrigerated retail products, inclusive of side dishes, eggs and egg products, sausage, cheese and other dairy and refrigerated products.
Executives
Ellen F Harshman director C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Dorothy M Burwell director C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63021
Bradly A Harper officer: SVP, CHIEF ACCTING OFFICER C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Thomas C Erb director C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Nicolas Catoggio officer: PRES & CEO, PCB C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
David P Skarie director RALCORP HOLDINGS INC, 800 MARKET STREET STE 2900, ST LOUIS MO 63101
Diedre J Gray officer: SVP, GEN. COUNSEL & SEC'Y C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 SOUTH HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Matthew J Mainer officer: SVP, CFO & TREASURER C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Robert E Grote director C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 SOUTH HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Gregory L Curl director
Jennifer Kuperman Johnson director C/O BELLRING BRANDS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Mark W Westphal officer: PRES., MICHAEL FOODS C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
David W Kemper director PO BOX 419248, KANSAS CITY MO 64141-6248
Jay W Brown director C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Robert V Vitale officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 SOUTH HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144