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United Parcel Service (United Parcel Service) Peter Lynch Fair Value

: $168.75 (As of Today)
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Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, United Parcel Service's PEG is 1. United Parcel Service's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 19.57. United Parcel Service's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was $8.62. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $168.75.

As of today (2024-04-16), United Parcel Service's share price is $144.85. United Parcel Service's Peter Lynch fair value is $168.75. Therefore, United Parcel Service's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 0.86.


The historical rank and industry rank for United Parcel Service's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

UPS' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.85   Med: 1.01   Max: 2.61
Current: 0.86


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of United Parcel Service was 2.61. The lowest was 0.85. And the median was 1.01.


UPS's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
50.9% of 334 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.85 vs UPS: 0.86

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


United Parcel Service Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for United Parcel Service's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

United Parcel Service Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 82.24 188.56 168.75

United Parcel Service Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 188.56 205.73 218.82 197.71 168.75

Competitive Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, United Parcel Service's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


United Parcel Service Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, United Parcel Service's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where United Parcel Service's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



United Parcel Service Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

United Parcel Service's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 19.57 *8.623
=168.75

United Parcel Service's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $8.62.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


United Parcel Service  (NYSE:UPS) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 19.57 instead of 15 in this case.

United Parcel Service's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=144.85/168.75
=0.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


United Parcel Service Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of United Parcel Service's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


United Parcel Service (United Parcel Service) Business Description

Address
55 Glenlake Parkway, N.E. Atlanta, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30328
As the world's largest parcel delivery company, UPS manages a massive fleet of more than 500 planes and 100,000 vehicles, along with many hundreds of sorting facilities, to deliver an average of about 25 million packages per day to residences and businesses across the globe. UPS' domestic U.S. package operations generate around 64% of total revenue while international package makes up 20%. Air and ocean freight forwarding, truckload brokerage, and contract logistics make up the remainder.
Executives
Nando Cesarone officer: President, UPS International 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE, ATLANTA GA 30328
Laura J Lane officer: Chief Corp Affairs & Comms Off 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE, ATLANTA GA 30328
Brian Newman officer: Chief Financial Officer 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE, ATLANTA GA 30328
Brothers Norman M. Jr officer: Sr VP, Gen Counsel & Sec 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE, ATLANTA GA 30328
Darrell L Ford officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE, ATLANTA GA 30328
Kathleen M. Gutmann officer: Senior Vice President 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE, ATLANTA GA 30328
Kevin M Warren officer: Chief Marketing Officer 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE, ATLANTA GA 30328
Bala Subramanian officer: Chief Digital & Tech Officer 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE, ATLANTA GA 30328
Philippe R Gilbert officer: Pres, Supply Chain Solutions 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE, ATLANTA GA 30328
Juan R. Perez officer: Senior Vice President 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE, ATLANTA GA 30328
Scott A. Price officer: Chief Transformation Officer 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE, ATLANTA GA 30328
Russell Stokes director ONE FINANCIAL CENTER, SUITE 3700, BOSTON MA 02111
Wayne M. Hewett director 5 WESTBROOK CORPORATE CENTER, WESTCHESTER IL 60154
Charlene A Thomas officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE, ATLANTA GA 30328
Kathleen E Johnson director 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE, ATLANTA GA 30328