Switch to:
GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Signs with Archer-Daniels Midland Co $ADM.
More than 500,000 people have already joined GuruFocus to track the stocks they follow and exchange investment ideas.
Archer-Daniels Midland Co (NYSE:ADM)
Beneish M-Score
-2.44 (As of Today)

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.

Archer-Daniels Midland Co has a M-score of -2.44 suggests that the company is not a manipulator.

ADM' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.35   Max: -1.22
Current: -2.44

-3.35
-1.22

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Archer-Daniels Midland Co was -1.22. The lowest was -3.35. And the median was -2.64.


Definition

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Archer-Daniels Midland Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1903+0.528 * 1.0049+0.404 * 1.0683+0.892 * 0.9209+0.115 * 0.973
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0832+4.679 * -0.0141-0.327 * 1.0303
=-2.44

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

This Year (Dec16) TTM:Last Year (Dec15) TTM:
Accounts Receivable was $1,905 Mil.
Revenue was 16501 + 15832 + 15629 + 14384 = $62,346 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1026 + 1105 + 757 + 796 = $3,684 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $21,045 Mil.
Total Assets was $39,769 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $9,758 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $900 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,026 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $13,173 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $6,504 Mil.
Net Income was 424 + 341 + 284 + 230 = $1,279 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 129 + -9 + 212 + 33 = $365 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 319 + 1522 + -389 + 23 = $1,475 Mil.
Accounts Receivable was $1,738 Mil.
Revenue was 16445 + 16565 + 17186 + 17506 = $67,702 Mil.
Gross Profit was 865 + 1089 + 964 + 1102 = $4,020 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $21,829 Mil.
Total Assets was $40,157 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $9,853 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $882 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,031 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $13,505 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $5,779 Mil.



1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of days’ sales in receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1905 / 62346) / (1738 / 67702)
=0.03055529 / 0.02567132
=1.1903

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4020 / 67702) / (3684 / 62346)
=0.05937786 / 0.0590896
=1.0049

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than plant, property and equipment to total assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (21045 + 9758) / 39769) / (1 - (21829 + 9853) / 40157)
=0.22545199 / 0.21104664
=1.0683

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=62346 / 67702
=0.9209

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(882 / (882 + 9853)) / (900 / (900 + 9758))
=0.08216116 / 0.08444361
=0.973

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2026 / 62346) / (2031 / 67702)
=0.03249607 / 0.02999911
=1.0832

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6504 + 13173) / 39769) / ((5779 + 13505) / 40157)
=0.49478237 / 0.48021516
=1.0303

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1279 - 365 - 1475) / 39769
=-0.0141

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Archer-Daniels Midland Co has a M-score of -2.44 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.


Related Terms

Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Archer-Daniels Midland Co Annual Data

Jun07Jun08Jun09Jun10Jun11Jun12Dec13Dec14Dec15Dec16
DSRI 1.19081.13050.64230.93950.60050.64810.92950.92760.77091.1902
GMI 1.1021.33630.93140.94831.16891.29380.95130.73750.98891.0049
AQI 0.81340.76121.10731.10530.85420.94890.971.58761.14381.0683
SGI 1.20281.58610.99130.89131.30791.10361.00860.90420.83380.9209
DEPI 1.05671.13671.02850.94281.12131.06240.96670.98911.01270.973
SGAI 0.8330.74871.00381.11090.88110.91451.07261.21531.26521.0891
LVGI 1.04611.19840.86650.94381.03020.99870.94771.00030.99991.0303
TATA 0.02080.1168-0.125-0.03740.0875-0.052-0.0935-0.0735-0.0289-0.0146
M-score -2.03-1.22-3.35-2.80-2.11-2.80-3.01-2.92-2.97-2.44

Archer-Daniels Midland Co Quarterly Data

Sep14Dec14Mar15Jun15Sep15Dec15Mar16Jun16Sep16Dec16
DSRI 0.660.83370.64741.17650.77091.16581.18681.2241.1902
GMI 0.77190.64410.7030.83230.98891.15791.2161.12871.0049
AQI 0.98241.55081.54121.56451.14381.1611.18021.22291.0683
SGI 0.93230.87880.84020.85440.83380.82780.85510.86330.9209
DEPI 1.01410.98560.96470.95911.01270.99921.00140.99970.973
SGAI 1.02241.35151.50511.50751.26021.19021.09611.07431.0832
LVGI 0.991.04641.07351.06930.99990.99331.03940.99341.0303
TATA -0.0734-0.0816-0.0661-0.0049-0.0287-0.0322-0.0172-0.0394-0.0141
M-score -3.32-3.17-3.31-2.45-2.96-2.51-2.36-2.43-2.44
Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)
FEEDBACK