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Northern Oil & Gas (Northern Oil & Gas) Beneish M-Score : -2.67 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Northern Oil & Gas Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.67 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Northern Oil & Gas's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NOG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -9.42   Med: -2.71   Max: 0.06
Current: -2.67

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Northern Oil & Gas was 0.06. The lowest was -9.42. And the median was -2.71.


Northern Oil & Gas Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Northern Oil & Gas's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Northern Oil & Gas Beneish M-Score Chart

Northern Oil & Gas Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.04 -1.83 0.06 -1.50 -2.67

Northern Oil & Gas Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.50 -1.93 -2.92 -2.92 -2.67

Competitive Comparison of Northern Oil & Gas's Beneish M-Score

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Northern Oil & Gas's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Northern Oil & Gas's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Northern Oil & Gas's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Northern Oil & Gas's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Northern Oil & Gas Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Northern Oil & Gas for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4327+0.528 * 1.3825+0.404 * 0.3867+0.892 * 0.9603+0.115 * 0.8353
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0325+4.679 * -0.119115-0.327 * 0.7615
=-2.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $374 Mil.
Revenue was 546.145 + 513.521 + 418.785 + 428.558 = $1,907 Mil.
Gross Profit was 246.992 + 255.066 + 190.87 + 220.934 = $914 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $509 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,484 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,932 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $486 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $47 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $386 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,836 Mil.
Net Income was 388.853 + 26.111 + 167.815 + 340.191 = $923 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 247.455 + -199.527 + 61.772 + 164.093 = $274 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 342.362 + 263.865 + 307.786 + 269.308 = $1,183 Mil.
Total Receivables was $272 Mil.
Revenue was 445.647 + 534.05 + 549.643 + 456.458 = $1,986 Mil.
Gross Profit was 257.849 + 357.324 + 386.365 + 314.117 = $1,316 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $320 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,875 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,483 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $251 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $47 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $345 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,525 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(373.78 / 1907.009) / (271.674 / 1985.798)
=0.196003 / 0.136808
=1.4327

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1315.655 / 1985.798) / (913.862 / 1907.009)
=0.662532 / 0.479212
=1.3825

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (509.407 + 3931.564) / 4484.255) / (1 - (320.485 + 2482.926) / 2875.178)
=0.009652 / 0.024961
=0.3867

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1907.009 / 1985.798
=0.9603

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(251.272 / (251.272 + 2482.926)) / (486.024 / (486.024 + 3931.564))
=0.0919 / 0.11002
=0.8353

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(46.801 / 1907.009) / (47.201 / 1985.798)
=0.024542 / 0.023769
=1.0325

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1835.554 + 385.761) / 4484.255) / ((1525.413 + 344.972) / 2875.178)
=0.495359 / 0.650528
=0.7615

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(922.97 - 273.793 - 1183.321) / 4484.255
=-0.119115

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Northern Oil & Gas has a M-score of -2.67 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Northern Oil & Gas Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Northern Oil & Gas (Northern Oil & Gas) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4350 Baker Road, Suite 400, Minnetonka, MN, USA, 55343
Northern Oil & Gas Inc is an independent energy company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties. Its principal business is crude oil and natural gas exploration, development, and production with operations in North Dakota and Montana that primarily target the Bakken and Three Forks formations in the Williston Basin of the United States.
Executives
Robert B. Rowling 10 percent owner 4001 MAPLE AVE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75219
William F Kimble director 6900 E. LAYTON AVE., SUITE 900, DENVER CO 80237
Jennifer S. Pomerantz director 4350 BAKER ROAD, SUITE 400, MINNETONKA MN 55343
Cresta Greenwood, Llc 10 percent owner 4001 MAPLE AVENUE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75219
Rowling Family 2012 Long Term Trust other: See Remarks 4001 MAPLE AVENUE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75219
James B. Evans officer: Executive VP & Chief Engineer 601 CARLSON PARKWAY, SUITE 990, MINNETONKA MN 55305
Foundation Rowling other: See Remarks 4001 MAPLE AVENUE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75219
Stuart G. Lasher director 4931 NEW PROVIDENCE, TAMPA FL 33629
Ttbr Investments Llc 10 percent owner 4001 MAPLE AVE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75219
Trbrjr Investments Llc 10 percent owner 4001 MAPLE AVE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75219
Michael D. Kelly officer: EVP of Finance 3762 INGOLD STREET, HOUSTON TX 77005
Crestview Partners Iii Gp, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O CRESTVIEW PARTNERS, 590 MADISON AVENUE, 42ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Brandon R. Elliott officer: EVP, Corporate Devp & Strategy 315 MANITOBA AVENUE, SUITE 200, WAYZATA MN 55391
Roy Ernest Easley director 1048 TEXAN TRAIL, GRAPEVINE TX 76051
W Energy Partners Llc 10 percent owner 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD, SUITE 550, DALLAS TX 75219