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Amazon.com (AMZN) Beneish M-Score

: -2.79 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.79 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Amazon.com's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AMZN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.38   Med: -2.94   Max: -2.31
Current: -2.79

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Amazon.com was -2.31. The lowest was -3.38. And the median was -2.94.


Amazon.com Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Amazon.com's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Amazon.com Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.93 -2.94 -2.59 -2.44 -2.79

Amazon.com Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.44 -2.73 -2.77 -2.89 -2.79

Competitive Comparison

For the Internet Retail subindustry, Amazon.com's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Amazon.com Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Amazon.com's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amazon.com's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Amazon.com Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Amazon.com for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1031+0.528 * 0.8064+0.404 * 1.0957+0.892 * 1.1183+0.115 * 0.9509
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9282+4.679 * -0.105065-0.327 * 0.8914
=-2.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $52,253 Mil.
Revenue was 169961 + 143083 + 134383 + 127358 = $574,785 Mil.
Gross Profit was 29275 + 24544 + 21774 + 18212 = $93,805 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $172,351 Mil.
Total Assets was $527,854 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $276,690 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $48,663 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $56,186 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $164,917 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $135,611 Mil.
Net Income was 10624 + 9879 + 6750 + 3172 = $30,425 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 289 + 1031 + 61 + -443 = $938 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 42465 + 21217 + 16476 + 4788 = $84,946 Mil.
Total Receivables was $42,360 Mil.
Revenue was 149204 + 127101 + 121234 + 116444 = $513,983 Mil.
Gross Profit was 19647 + 16765 + 16396 + 14832 = $67,640 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $146,791 Mil.
Total Assets was $462,675 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $252,838 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $41,921 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $54,129 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $155,393 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $140,118 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(52253 / 574785) / (42360 / 513983)
=0.090909 / 0.082415
=1.1031

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(67640 / 513983) / (93805 / 574785)
=0.1316 / 0.1632
=0.8064

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (172351 + 276690) / 527854) / (1 - (146791 + 252838) / 462675)
=0.149308 / 0.136264
=1.0957

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=574785 / 513983
=1.1183

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(41921 / (41921 + 252838)) / (48663 / (48663 + 276690))
=0.142221 / 0.14957
=0.9509

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(56186 / 574785) / (54129 / 513983)
=0.097751 / 0.105313
=0.9282

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((135611 + 164917) / 527854) / ((140118 + 155393) / 462675)
=0.569339 / 0.638701
=0.8914

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(30425 - 938 - 84946) / 527854
=-0.105065

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Amazon.com has a M-score of -2.79 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Amazon.com Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Amazon.com (AMZN) Business Description

Address
410 Terry Avenue North, Seattle, WA, USA, 98109-5210
Amazon is a leading online retailer and one of the highest-grossing e-commerce aggregators, with $386 billion in net sales and approximately $578 billion in estimated physical/digital online gross merchandise volume in 2021. Retail-related revenue represents approximately 80% of the total, followed by Amazon Web Services' cloud computing, storage, database, and other offerings (10%-15%), advertising services (5%), and other. International segments constitute 25%-30% of Amazon's non-AWS sales, led by Germany, the United Kingdom, and Japan.
Executives
Adam Selipsky officer: CEO Amazon Web Services PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108
Douglas J Herrington officer: CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108
David Zapolsky officer: Senior Vice President PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108
Andrew R Jassy director, officer: President and CEO PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108-1226
Shelley Reynolds officer: Vice President PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108
Brian T Olsavsky officer: Senior Vice President and CFO PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108
Daniel P Huttenlocher director ONE RIVERFRONT PLAZA, CORNING NY 14831
Brad D Smith director 1040 13TH AVE, HUNTINGTON WV 25701
Jeffrey P Bezos director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman, CEO and President PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108-1226
David H Clark officer: Senior Vice President PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108
Jonathan Rubinstein director APPLE COMPUTER INC, 1 INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Edith W Cooper director C/O ETSY, INC., 117 ADAMS STREET, BROOKLYN NY 11249
Judith A Mcgrath director PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108
Jeffrey A Wilke officer: CEO Worldwide Consumer PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108-1226
Patricia Q Stonesifer director PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108-1226

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