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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
A O Smith Corp has a M-score of -2.57 suggests that the company is not a manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of A O Smith Corp was 2.01. The lowest was -4.50. And the median was -2.48.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of A O Smith Corp for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 1.0075||+||0.528 * 0.9912||+||0.404 * 0.8966||+||0.892 * 1.0797||+||0.115 * 1.0278|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 1.0041||+||4.679 * -0.0238||-||0.327 * 1.0447|
|This Year (Sep14) TTM:||Last Year (Sep13) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $474 Mil.|
Revenue was 581.6 + 595.4 + 552.2 + 558.9 = $2,288 Mil.
Gross Profit was 215.3 + 216.2 + 195.9 + 199.9 = $827 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,295 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,487 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $421 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $62 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $553 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $587 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $241 Mil.
Net Income was 50.6 + 57.3 + 46.7 + 42.4 = $197 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 1 + 1.2 + 1.3 + -2.8 = $1 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 74 + 78 + 11.8 + 91.6 = $255 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $436 Mil.
Revenue was 536.2 + 549.1 + 509.6 + 524.3 = $2,119 Mil.
Gross Profit was 196.6 + 198 + 179.3 + 185.6 = $760 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,165 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,349 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $372 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $56 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $510 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $535 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $213 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(474.3 / 2288.1)||/||(436 / 2119.2)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(216.2 / 2119.2)||/||(215.3 / 2288.1)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (1294.8 + 421) / 2486.8)||/||(1 - (1165 + 371.7) / 2348.9)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(56.4 / (56.4 + 371.7))||/||(61.9 / (61.9 + 421))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(553 / 2288.1)||/||(510.1 / 2119.2)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((240.7 + 587.3) / 2486.8)||/||((213.4 + 535.2) / 2348.9)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(197 - 0.7||-||255.4)||/||2486.8|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
A O Smith Corp has a M-score of -2.57 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
A O Smith Corp Annual Data
A O Smith Corp Quarterly Data