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Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.
The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Good Sign:
Beneish M-Score -2.44 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
The historical rank and industry rank for Auburn National Bancorp's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Auburn National Bancorp was -2.25. The lowest was -2.70. And the median was -2.40.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Auburn National Bancorp for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 1.1727 | + | 0.892 * 0.767 | + | 0.115 * 0.8826 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 1.4898 | + | 4.679 * -0.010774 | - | 0.327 * 0 | |||||||
= | -2.44 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Dec23) TTM: | Last Year (Dec22) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $0.00 Mil. Revenue was 0.63 + 7.137 + 7.679 + 7.901 = $23.35 Mil. Gross Profit was 0.63 + 7.137 + 7.679 + 7.901 = $23.35 Mil. Total Current Assets was $310.87 Mil. Total Assets was $975.26 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $45.54 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1.70 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $12.73 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $0.00 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $0.00 Mil. Net Income was -3.985 + 1.488 + 1.928 + 1.964 = $1.40 Mil. Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.00 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 1.209 + 3.318 + 2.484 + 4.891 = $11.90 Mil. |
Total Receivables was $0.00 Mil. Revenue was 8.135 + 8.095 + 7.222 + 6.986 = $30.44 Mil. Gross Profit was 8.135 + 8.095 + 7.222 + 6.986 = $30.44 Mil. Total Current Assets was $423.26 Mil. Total Assets was $1,023.89 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $46.58 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1.53 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $11.14 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $2.96 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $0.00 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (0 / 23.347) | / | (0 / 30.438) | |
= | 0 | / | 0 | |
= | 1 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (30.438 / 30.438) | / | (23.347 / 23.347) | |
= | 1 | / | 1 | |
= | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (310.867 + 45.535) / 975.255) | / | (1 - (423.258 + 46.575) / 1023.888) | |
= | 0.634555 | / | 0.541129 | |
= | 1.1727 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 23.347 | / | 30.438 | |
= | 0.767 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (1.528 / (1.528 + 46.575)) | / | (1.7 / (1.7 + 45.535)) | |
= | 0.031765 | / | 0.03599 | |
= | 0.8826 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (12.732 / 23.347) | / | (11.142 / 30.438) | |
= | 0.545338 | / | 0.366056 | |
= | 1.4898 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((0 + 0) / 975.255) | / | ((0 + 2.959) / 1023.888) | |
= | 0 | / | 0.00289 | |
= | 0 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (1.395 - 0 | - | 11.902) | / | 975.255 | |
= | -0.010774 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Auburn National Bancorp has a M-score of -2.44 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Auburn National Bancorp's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
David E Housel | director | 100 NORTH GAY STREET, PO BOX 3110, AUBURN AL 36830 |
Shannon O'donnell | officer: SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT | 2032 ST. PATRICK COURT, AUBURN AL 36830 |
J Tutt Barrett | director | P. O. BOX 49, OPELIKA AL 36803 |
Ham William F Jr | director | 100 NORTH GAY STREET, PO BOX 3110, AUBURN AL 36830 |
David A Hedges | officer: Controller | 1832 COOPER'S POND ROAD, AUBURN AL 36830 |
Terry W Andrus | director | 100 NORTH GAY STREET, PO BOX 3110, AUBURN AL 36830 |
Wright Emil F Jr | director, 10 percent owner | 100 NORTH GAY STREET, PO BOX 3110, AUBURN AL 36830 |
Lauretta Jenkins Cooper | director | 1520 DUNBAR STREET, AUBURN AL 36830 |
Terrell E Bishop | officer: Senior Vice President | 100 NORTH GAY STREET, PO BOX 3110, AUBURN AL 36830 |
Jerome B Siegel | officer: Senior Vice President | 616 LOCKWOOD STREET, AUBURN AL 36830 |
Smith Charles Edward Jr | officer: Senior Vice President | 100 NORTH GAY STREET, PO BOX 3110, AUBURN AL 36830 |
William Thomas Johnson | officer: Senior Vice President | 100 NORTH GAY STREET, PO BOX 3110, AUBURN AL 36830 |
Samuel Mark Bridges | officer: Senior Vice President | P. O. BOX 3110, AUBURN AL 36831-3110 |
Pamela Meigs Fuller | officer: Vice President | P. O. BOX 3110, AUBURN AL 36831 |
Spencer Edward L Jr | 10 percent owner | 100 NORTH GAY STREET, PO BOX 3110, AUBURN AL 36830 |
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