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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of BHP Billiton Ltd was -2.16. The lowest was -12.64. And the median was -2.76.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of BHP Billiton Ltd for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 0.9718||+||0.528 * 0.9787||+||0.404 * 0.8453||+||0.892 * 0.6642||+||0.115 * 0.8348|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 1.1018||+||4.679 * -0.1373||-||0.327 * 1.0253|
* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.
|This Year (Jun15) TTM:||Last Year (Jun14) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $2,982 Mil.|
Revenue was $44,636 Mil.
Gross Profit was $29,737 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $16,369 Mil.
Total Assets was $124,580 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $94,072 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $9,158 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $5,607 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $12,853 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $27,969 Mil.
Net Income was $1,910 Mil.
Non Operating Income was $-284 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $19,296 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $4,620 Mil.
Revenue was $67,206 Mil.
Gross Profit was $43,821 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $22,296 Mil.
Total Assets was $151,413 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $108,787 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $8,701 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $7,662 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $18,064 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $30,327 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(2982 / 44636)||/||(4620 / 67206)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||( / 67206)||/||( / 44636)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (16369 + 94072) / 124580)||/||(1 - (22296 + 108787) / 151413)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(8701 / (8701 + 108787))||/||(9158 / (9158 + 94072))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(5607 / 44636)||/||(7662 / 67206)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((27969 + 12853) / 124580)||/||((30327 + 18064) / 151413)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(1910 - -284||-||19296)||/||124580|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
BHP Billiton Ltd has a M-score of -3.57 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
BHP Billiton Ltd Annual Data