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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Cerner Corp was -1.75. The lowest was -4.33. And the median was -2.74.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Cerner Corp for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 1.368||+||0.528 * 0.9978||+||0.404 * 1.5886||+||0.892 * 1.2763||+||0.115 * 0.9537|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 1.0067||+||4.679 * -0.052||-||0.327 * 1.482|
|This Year (Sep15) TTM:||Last Year (Sep14) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $1,012 Mil.|
Revenue was 1127.887 + 1125.997 + 996.089 + 926.031 = $4,176 Mil.
Gross Profit was 937.304 + 933.675 + 827.429 + 753.187 = $3,452 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,804 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,523 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,187 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $414 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,148 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $839 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $573 Mil.
Net Income was 147.282 + 115.038 + 110.934 + 147.872 = $521 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0.317 + -1.079 + 0.208 + -9.167 = $-10 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 271.52 + 108.664 + 214.247 + 223.448 = $818 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $580 Mil.
Revenue was 840.149 + 851.762 + 784.761 + 795.328 = $3,272 Mil.
Gross Profit was 700.084 + 689.393 + 655.662 + 653.212 = $2,698 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,235 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,393 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $889 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $291 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,672 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $671 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $87 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(1012.146 / 4176.004)||/||(579.697 / 3272)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(933.675 / 3272)||/||(937.304 / 4176.004)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (1803.762 + 1187.114) / 5522.925)||/||(1 - (2235.477 + 889.487) / 4392.638)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(291.29 / (291.29 + 889.487))||/||(414.216 / (414.216 + 1187.114))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(2147.863 / 4176.004)||/||(1671.633 / 3272)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((572.828 + 839.335) / 5522.925)||/||((86.756 + 671.12) / 4392.638)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(521.126 - -9.721||-||817.879)||/||5522.925|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Cerner Corp has a M-score of -2.07 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Cerner Corp Annual Data
Cerner Corp Quarterly Data