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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Consol Energy Inc was -1.32. The lowest was -3.81. And the median was -2.78.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Consol Energy Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 0.6859||+||0.528 * 0.9494||+||0.404 * 0.9105||+||0.892 * 1.0646||+||0.115 * 0.8778|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 0.9278||+||4.679 * -0.0521||-||0.327 * 1.0234|
|This Year (Mar15) TTM:||Last Year (Mar14) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $260 Mil.|
Revenue was 889.592 + 935.665 + 884.616 + 937.37 = $3,647 Mil.
Gross Profit was 413.492 + 422.425 + 389.079 + 436.506 = $1,662 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $933 Mil.
Total Assets was $11,781 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $10,367 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $593 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $445 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,908 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $2,601 Mil.
Net Income was 79.03 + 73.666 + -1.645 + -24.935 = $126 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -67.734 + 0 + -20.99 + 0 = $-89 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 228.37 + 86.609 + 293.024 + 221.045 = $829 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $356 Mil.
Revenue was 969.153 + 825.23 + 803.345 + 828.167 = $3,426 Mil.
Gross Profit was 479.602 + 320.367 + 326.085 + 355.633 = $1,482 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,459 Mil.
Total Assets was $11,584 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $9,605 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $479 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $451 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,170 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $3,161 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(259.66 / 3647.243)||/||(355.606 / 3425.895)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(422.425 / 3425.895)||/||(413.492 / 3647.243)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (932.714 + 10366.581) / 11781.396)||/||(1 - (1458.836 + 9604.991) / 11584.475)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(478.66 / (478.66 + 9604.991))||/||(592.669 / (592.669 + 10366.581))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(445.314 / 3647.243)||/||(450.818 / 3425.895)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((2600.535 + 1907.984) / 11781.396)||/||((3161.341 + 1170.347) / 11584.475)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(126.116 - -88.724||-||829.048)||/||11781.396|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Consol Energy Inc has a M-score of -3.03 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Consol Energy Inc Annual Data
Consol Energy Inc Quarterly Data