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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Conn's Inc was 8.17. The lowest was -3.98. And the median was -2.10.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Conn's Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 1.0596||+||0.528 * 0.9707||+||0.404 * 0.9468||+||0.892 * 1.1152||+||0.115 * 0.8837|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 1.0691||+||4.679 * 0.1862||-||0.327 * 1.1806|
|This Year (Oct15) TTM:||Last Year (Oct14) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $707 Mil.|
Revenue was 395.233 + 396.05 + 365.076 + 426.748 = $1,583 Mil.
Gross Profit was 192.332 + 193.589 + 177.943 + 201.535 = $765 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,278 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,089 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $139 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $25 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $423 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $204 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $1,159 Mil.
Net Income was -2.421 + 16.538 + 15.677 + 15.458 = $45 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -1.367 + -71.104 + -66.597 + -76.291 = $-215 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -51.848 + -69.797 + 56.351 + -63.107 = $-128 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $598 Mil.
Revenue was 370.058 + 352.964 + 335.448 + 361.141 = $1,420 Mil.
Gross Profit was 176.341 + 182.376 + 161.084 + 146.41 = $666 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $911 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,556 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $117 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $18 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $355 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $163 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $696 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(706.934 / 1583.107)||/||(598.241 / 1419.611)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(193.589 / 1419.611)||/||(192.332 / 1583.107)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (1277.63 + 139.163) / 2088.843)||/||(1 - (910.646 + 116.585) / 1556.006)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(17.923 / (17.923 + 116.585))||/||(24.71 / (24.71 + 139.163))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(422.899 / 1583.107)||/||(354.701 / 1419.611)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((1158.746 + 203.639) / 2088.843)||/||((696.31 + 163.337) / 1556.006)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(45.252 - -215.359||-||-128.401)||/||2088.843|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Conn's Inc has a M-score of -1.57 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Conn's Inc Annual Data
Conn's Inc Quarterly Data