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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Conn's Inc was 9.00. The lowest was -3.98. And the median was -1.24.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Conn's Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 1.1498||+||0.528 * 0.996||+||0.404 * 0.9378||+||0.892 * 1.0808||+||0.115 * 0.9943|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 1.0643||+||4.679 * 0.2119||-||0.327 * 1.2739|
|This Year (Apr16) TTM:||Last Year (Apr15) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $812 Mil.|
Revenue was 389.113 + 456.819 + 395.233 + 396.05 = $1,637 Mil.
Gross Profit was 184.647 + 216.188 + 192.332 + 193.589 = $787 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,133 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,997 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $164 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $25 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $461 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $162 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $1,203 Mil.
Net Income was -9.749 + 1.061 + -2.421 + 16.538 = $5 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -70.571 + -80.289 + -73.966 + -71.104 = $-296 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 108.653 + -108.828 + -51.848 + -69.797 = $-122 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $653 Mil.
Revenue was 365.076 + 426.748 + 370.058 + 352.964 = $1,515 Mil.
Gross Profit was 177.943 + 201.535 + 176.341 + 169.212 = $725 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $888 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,613 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $122 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $18 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $400 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $146 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $720 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(811.637 / 1637.215)||/||(653.141 / 1514.846)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(725.031 / 1514.846)||/||(786.756 / 1637.215)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (1133.487 + 163.626) / 1996.825)||/||(1 - (887.878 + 122.189) / 1612.672)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(18.225 / (18.225 + 122.189))||/||(24.565 / (24.565 + 163.626))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(460.625 / 1637.215)||/||(400.448 / 1514.846)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((1203.361 + 162.481) / 1996.825)||/||((719.71 + 146.197) / 1612.672)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(5.429 - -295.93||-||-121.82)||/||1996.825|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Conn's Inc has a M-score of -1.41 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Conn's Inc Annual Data
Conn's Inc Quarterly Data