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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Campbell Soup Co was -1.90. The lowest was -3.15. And the median was -2.66.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Campbell Soup Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 1.0272||+||0.528 * 1.0088||+||0.404 * 0.992||+||0.892 * 0.9608||+||0.115 * 1.0328|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 1.0394||+||4.679 * -0.0676||-||0.327 * 1.0071|
|This Year (Oct15) TTM:||Last Year (Oct14) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $829 Mil.|
Revenue was 2203 + 1693 + 1900 + 2234 = $8,030 Mil.
Gross Profit was 755 + 612 + 682 + 728 = $2,777 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,337 Mil.
Total Assets was $8,304 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,340 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $302 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,471 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,904 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $2,551 Mil.
Net Income was 194 + 68 + 182 + 207 = $651 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 218 + 211 + 387 + 396 = $1,212 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $840 Mil.
Revenue was 2255 + 1852 + 1970 + 2281 = $8,358 Mil.
Gross Profit was 795 + 631 + 676 + 814 = $2,916 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,358 Mil.
Total Assets was $8,297 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,286 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $306 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,473 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,168 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $2,244 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(829 / 8030)||/||(840 / 8358)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(612 / 8358)||/||(755 / 8030)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (2337 + 2340) / 8304)||/||(1 - (2358 + 2286) / 8297)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(306 / (306 + 2286))||/||(302 / (302 + 2340))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(1471 / 8030)||/||(1473 / 8358)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((2551 + 2904) / 8304)||/||((2244 + 3168) / 8297)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(651 - 0||-||1212)||/||8304|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Campbell Soup Co has a M-score of -2.81 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Campbell Soup Co Annual Data
Campbell Soup Co Quarterly Data