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Cenovus Energy Inc (NYSE:CVE)
Beneish M-Score
-2.74 (As of Today)

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.

Cenovus Energy Inc has a M-score of -2.71 suggests that the company is not a manipulator.

CVE' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.72   Max: 2.34
Current: -2.74

-3.72
2.34

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Cenovus Energy Inc was 2.34. The lowest was -3.72. And the median was -3.02.


Definition

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Cenovus Energy Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3187+0.528 * 1.6088+0.404 * 1.1094+0.892 * 0.5875+0.115 * 0.8948
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.4777+4.679 * -0.0915-0.327 * 1.0006
=-2.71

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

This Year (Mar16) TTM:Last Year (Mar15) TTM:
Accounts Receivable was $839 Mil.
Revenue was 1712.53591411 + 2154.88952089 + 2493.59264285 + 3056.20703599 = $9,417 Mil.
Gross Profit was -15.1217299259 + 91.8836140888 + 286.446555103 + 714.921148403 = $1,078 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,561 Mil.
Total Assets was $18,524 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $13,715 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,638 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $245 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,400 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $4,622 Mil.
Net Income was -89.2182065628 + -467.439655801 + 1357.60590984 + 101.900525677 = $903 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 275.971571148 + -248.669146066 + 1475.19975878 + 43.6716538617 = $1,546 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 137.607742326 + 234.813680449 + 408.563244384 + 270.926000809 = $1,052 Mil.
Accounts Receivable was $1,083 Mil.
Revenue was 2508.32144555 + 3761.70655567 + 4626.2828081 + 5133.88734995 = $16,030 Mil.
Gross Profit was 317.007449675 + 338.189386056 + 1048.95104895 + 1248.38411819 = $2,953 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,785 Mil.
Total Assets was $20,487 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $16,455 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,736 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $282 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,923 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $4,734 Mil.



1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of days’ sales in receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(839.256010888 / 9417.22511384) / (1083.37295926 / 16030.1981593)
=0.08911925 / 0.06758325
=1.3187

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2952.53200287 / 16030.1981593) / (1078.12958767 / 9417.22511384)
=0.18418562 / 0.11448485
=1.6088

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than plant, property and equipment to total assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4561.46983215 + 13715.4090428) / 18524.1191592) / (1 - (3785.06894912 + 16455.064194) / 20486.6064353)
=0.01334694 / 0.01203095
=1.1094

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=9417.22511384 / 16030.1981593
=0.5875

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1736.0649075 / (1736.0649075 + 16455.064194)) / (1637.53402957 / (1637.53402957 + 13715.4090428))
=0.0954347 / 0.10665929
=0.8948

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(244.800328953 / 9417.22511384) / (281.997986755 / 16030.1981593)
=0.02599495 / 0.01759167
=1.4777

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4621.95675185 + 1400.27219114) / 18524.1191592) / ((4733.71374227 + 1922.65018228) / 20486.6064353)
=0.32510204 / 0.32491296
=1.0006

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(902.848573158 - 1546.17383773 - 1051.91066797) / 18524.1191592
=-0.0915

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Cenovus Energy Inc has a M-score of -2.71 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.


Related Terms

Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Cenovus Energy Inc Annual Data

Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13Dec14Dec15
DSRI 0.94350.19660.84216.81120.85780.0587
GMI 1.16921.30331.01551.03931.1241.5038
AQI 0.94490.80880.65490.35220.39491.2521
SGI 1.27761.1911.13541.02570.97680.5524
DEPI 1.08720.99110.9420.93831.01010.8744
SGAI 1.26420.17531.08710.89940.9691.4246
LVGI 0.95760.85061.24250.89870.97940.9539
TATA -0.0851-0.0843-0.0968-0.0868-0.0963-0.0798
M-score -2.64-3.17-3.192.29-3.25-3.82

Cenovus Energy Inc Quarterly Data

Dec13Mar14Jun14Sep14Dec14Mar15Jun15Sep15Dec15Mar16
DSRI 6.60.99661.07710.8530.84550.63550.75050.81620.05751.3187
GMI 1.03931.11461.13921.08671.11911.21031.29481.59961.48491.6088
AQI 0.35220.37820.38310.41120.39490.36750.38780.37861.25211.1094
SGI 1.05851.10581.12641.07420.9910.86090.7230.62540.56350.5875
DEPI 0.91180.97331.06331.05130.99970.93950.89470.88280.86260.8948
SGAI 0.89670.93490.89290.8840.96930.92690.92771.08181.40921.4777
LVGI 0.89871.08161.01130.97930.97940.8810.93930.91720.95391.0006
TATA -0.0921-0.069-0.0697-0.0734-0.0989-0.1176-0.0986-0.0998-0.0801-0.0915
M-score 2.09-2.92-2.78-3.05-3.26-3.59-3.49-3.39-3.82-2.71
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