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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Dollar Tree Inc was 6.59. The lowest was -6.34. And the median was -2.73.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Dollar Tree Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 1||+||0.528 * 1.0194||+||0.404 * 1.0018||+||0.892 * 1.6218||+||0.115 * 0.6103|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 0.9695||+||4.679 * -0.0759||-||0.327 * 0.8987|
|This Year (Oct16) TTM:||Last Year (Oct15) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $0 Mil.|
Revenue was 5001.6 + 4996.3 + 5085.8 + 5365.3 = $20,449 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1520.5 + 1512.4 + 1554.6 + 1652.6 = $6,240 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,342 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,195 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,176 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $657 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $4,652 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,134 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $6,938 Mil.
Net Income was 171.6 + 170.2 + 232.7 + 229 = $804 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -224.3 + -174.6 + 0.2 + 966.7 = $568 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -25 + 369.3 + 311 + 809.9 = $1,465 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $0 Mil.
Revenue was 4945.2 + 3011.2 + 2176.7 + 2475.6 = $12,609 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1400 + 855.2 + 748.9 + 918.1 = $3,922 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,628 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,699 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,141 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $367 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,959 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,161 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $8,248 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(0 / 20449)||/||(0 / 12608.7)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(3922.2 / 12608.7)||/||(6240.1 / 20449)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (4342.4 + 3176.3) / 16195)||/||(1 - (4628 + 3141) / 16699)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(366.9 / (366.9 + 3141))||/||(656.9 / (656.9 + 3176.3))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(4652 / 20449)||/||(2958.7 / 12608.7)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((6938 + 2134.2) / 16195)||/||((8248 + 2161.2) / 16699)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(803.5 - 568||-||1465.2)||/||16195|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Dollar Tree Inc has a M-score of -2.28 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Dollar Tree Inc Annual Data
Dollar Tree Inc Quarterly Data