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Dow Chemical Co (NYSE:DOW)
Beneish M-Score
-2.70 (As of Today)

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.

Dow Chemical Co has a M-score of -2.70 suggests that the company is not a manipulator.

DOW' s 10-Year Beneish M-Score Range
Min: -3.17   Max: -1.95
Current: -2.7

-3.17
-1.95

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Dow Chemical Co was -1.95. The lowest was -3.17. And the median was -2.60.


Definition

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Dow Chemical Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9717+0.528 * 0.9921+0.404 * 0.9817+0.892 * 1.0174+0.115 * 1.0248
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0153+4.679 * -0.0443-0.327 * 0.9804
=-2.70

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

This Year (Jun14) TTM:Last Year (Jun13) TTM:
Accounts Receivable was $10,359 Mil.
Revenue was 14917 + 14461 + 14386 + 13734 = $57,498 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2573 + 2728 + 2318 + 2018 = $9,637 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $24,283 Mil.
Total Assets was $68,756 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $17,901 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,703 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3,066 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $11,879 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $17,036 Mil.
Net Income was 967 + 1049 + 1048 + 679 = $3,743 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -202 + 280 + 728 + 381 = $1,187 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1395 + 575 + 2233 + 1402 = $5,605 Mil.
Accounts Receivable was $10,478 Mil.
Revenue was 14577 + 14383 + 13917 + 13637 = $56,514 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2474 + 2676 + 1978 + 2269 = $9,397 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $25,327 Mil.
Total Assets was $70,142 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $17,202 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,672 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,968 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $12,613 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $17,475 Mil.



1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of days’ sales in receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(10359 / 57498) / (10478 / 56514)
=0.18016279 / 0.18540539
=0.9717

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2728 / 56514) / (2573 / 57498)
=0.16627738 / 0.16760583
=0.9921

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than plant, property and equipment to total assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (24283 + 17901) / 68756) / (1 - (25327 + 17202) / 70142)
=0.38646809 / 0.39367284
=0.9817

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=57498 / 56514
=1.0174

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2672 / (2672 + 17202)) / (2703 / (2703 + 17901))
=0.13444702 / 0.13118812
=1.0248

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3066 / 57498) / (2968 / 56514)
=0.05332359 / 0.05251796
=1.0153

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17036 + 11879) / 68756) / ((17475 + 12613) / 70142)
=0.42054512 / 0.4289584
=0.9804

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3743 - 1187 - 5605) / 68756
=-0.0443

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Dow Chemical Co has a M-score of -2.70 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.


Related Terms

Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Dow Chemical Co Annual Data

Dec04Dec05Dec06Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13
DSRI 1.02710.93440.95721.10460.66051.71430.82230.95241.06220.9916
GMI 0.92660.84951.12131.16361.39950.74420.86770.98510.94270.953
AQI 1.0060.92640.98471.00471.02961.29080.94211.01830.9910.9546
SGI 1.23071.1531.06081.08931.07190.78231.19611.11760.94671.0052
DEPI 0.89990.98541.0140.99390.97661.00330.9391.00511.07051.0022
SGAI 0.83820.93311.01471.02890.9841.6170.87710.95621.0841.0515
LVGI 0.94890.89580.94621.00361.13341.05051.01470.93080.9780.9179
TATA -0.0203-0.0365-0.0374-0.0624-0.1113-0.0447-0.0072-0.0033-0.0489-0.0953
M-score -2.35-2.64-2.57-2.51-3.07-2.37-2.59-2.40-2.73-2.95

Dow Chemical Co Quarterly Data

Mar12Jun12Sep12Dec12Mar13Jun13Sep13Dec13Mar14Jun14
DSRI 0.93050.90361.03171.06221.05221.09590.98710.99160.9920.9717
GMI 1.07321.07691.0170.94270.89420.88420.94310.9530.98050.9921
AQI 1.00951.01550.99830.9910.98230.95791.30690.95460.95820.9817
SGI 1.09061.01780.95490.94670.94130.96710.99381.00521.01251.0174
DEPI 1.00650.99361.0311.07051.04551.03591.01811.00221.01591.0248
SGAI 0.96821.01171.07671.0841.11221.10641.04371.05151.02311.0153
LVGI 1.06870.99410.9780.8990.95470.72520.91790.93580.9804
TATA -0.013-0.025-0.0235-0.0489-0.0545-0.0856-0.0707-0.0887-0.0861-0.0443
M-score -2.50-2.62-2.60-2.73-2.78-2.90-2.65-2.92-2.89-2.70
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