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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
Directv has a M-score of -3.37 suggests that the company is not a manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Directv was -0.76. The lowest was -3.69. And the median was -3.02.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Directv for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 0.9321||+||0.528 * 1.0124||+||0.404 * 0.9324||+||0.892 * 1.055||+||0.115 * 0.9859|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 1.0349||+||4.679 * -0.1846||-||0.327 * 0.9424|
|This Year (Sep14) TTM:||Last Year (Sep13) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $2,485 Mil.|
Revenue was 8374 + 8109 + 7855 + 8594 = $32,932 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3926 + 3930 + 3824 + 3843 = $15,523 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,515 Mil.
Total Assets was $22,594 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $9,270 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,909 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3,091 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $6,472 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $18,311 Mil.
Net Income was 611 + 806 + 561 + 810 = $2,788 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 1 + 35 + 57 + 100 = $193 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1662 + 1474 + 1590 + 2039 = $6,765 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $2,527 Mil.
Revenue was 7880 + 7700 + 7580 + 8054 = $31,214 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3758 + 3774 + 3737 + 3626 = $14,895 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,029 Mil.
Total Assets was $20,588 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $8,905 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,743 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,831 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,329 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $18,635 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(2485 / 32932)||/||(2527 / 31214)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(3930 / 31214)||/||(3926 / 32932)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (6515 + 9270) / 22594)||/||(1 - (5029 + 8905) / 20588)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(2743 / (2743 + 8905))||/||(2909 / (2909 + 9270))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(3091 / 32932)||/||(2831 / 31214)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((18311 + 6472) / 22594)||/||((18635 + 5329) / 20588)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(2788 - 193||-||6765)||/||22594|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Directv has a M-score of -3.37 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Directv Annual Data
Directv Quarterly Data