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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Garmin Ltd was -1.19. The lowest was -3.31. And the median was -2.35.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Garmin Ltd for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 0.9639||+||0.528 * 1.0492||+||0.404 * 1.1746||+||0.892 * 0.9952||+||0.115 * 1.0007|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 1.0668||+||4.679 * 0.0276||-||0.327 * 0.8508|
|This Year (Mar16) TTM:||Last Year (Mar15) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $408 Mil.|
Revenue was 624.04 + 781.357 + 679.69 + 773.83 = $2,859 Mil.
Gross Profit was 339.85 + 413.143 + 362.19 + 419.25 = $1,534 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,129 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,410 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $449 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $80 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $564 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $681 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $0 Mil.
Net Income was 88.092 + 132.383 + 119.299 + 137.753 = $478 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -3.684 + -0.577 + 32.583 + -0.526 = $28 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 129.387 + 158.336 + 137.835 + -97.359 = $328 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $426 Mil.
Revenue was 585.394 + 803.306 + 706.283 + 777.848 = $2,873 Mil.
Gross Profit was 344.122 + 430.848 + 398.246 + 444.485 = $1,618 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,500 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,543 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $436 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $77 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $531 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $824 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $0 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(408.283 / 2858.917)||/||(425.65 / 2872.831)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(1617.701 / 2872.831)||/||(1534.433 / 2858.917)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (2129.133 + 448.967) / 4410.324)||/||(1 - (2500.307 + 436.104) / 4543.279)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(77.467 / (77.467 + 436.104))||/||(79.689 / (79.689 + 448.967))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(563.502 / 2858.917)||/||(530.787 / 2872.831)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((0 + 680.72) / 4410.324)||/||((0 + 824.261) / 4543.279)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(477.527 - 27.796||-||328.199)||/||4410.324|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Garmin Ltd has a M-score of -2.25 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Garmin Ltd Annual Data
Garmin Ltd Quarterly Data