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Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co (NAS:GT)
Beneish M-Score
-2.41 (As of Today)

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.

Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co has a M-score of -2.41 suggests that the company is not a manipulator.

GT' s 10-Year Beneish M-Score Range
Min: -3.3   Max: -1.86
Current: -2.41

-3.3
-1.86

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co was -1.86. The lowest was -3.30. And the median was -2.57.


Definition

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0458+0.528 * 0.8592+0.404 * 1.083+0.892 * 0.9433+0.115 * 1.0154
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1133+4.679 * 0.0319-0.327 * 1.0441
=-2.41

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

This Year (Jun14) TTM:Last Year (Jun13) TTM:
Accounts Receivable was $2,841 Mil.
Revenue was 4656 + 4469 + 4791 + 5002 = $18,918 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1124 + 951 + 1101 + 1056 = $4,232 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $8,038 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,942 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $7,325 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $736 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,787 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,025 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $6,677 Mil.
Net Income was 213 + -51 + 235 + 173 = $570 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -8 + -215 + -8 + -6 = $-237 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 409 + -1543 + 1236 + 164 = $266 Mil.
Accounts Receivable was $2,880 Mil.
Revenue was 4894 + 4853 + 5045 + 5264 = $20,056 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1048 + 913 + 945 + 949 = $3,855 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $8,969 Mil.
Total Assets was $17,384 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $6,919 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $707 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,654 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,175 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $6,325 Mil.



1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of days’ sales in receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2841 / 18918) / (2880 / 20056)
=0.15017444 / 0.14359793
=1.0458

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(951 / 20056) / (1124 / 18918)
=0.19221181 / 0.22370229
=0.8592

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than plant, property and equipment to total assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8038 + 7325) / 16942) / (1 - (8969 + 6919) / 17384)
=0.09320033 / 0.08605614
=1.083

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=18918 / 20056
=0.9433

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(707 / (707 + 6919)) / (736 / (736 + 7325))
=0.09270915 / 0.09130381
=1.0154

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2787 / 18918) / (2654 / 20056)
=0.14732001 / 0.13232948
=1.1133

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6677 + 5025) / 16942) / ((6325 + 5175) / 17384)
=0.69070948 / 0.66152784
=1.0441

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(570 - -237 - 266) / 16942
=0.0319

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co has a M-score of -2.41 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.


Related Terms

Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co Annual Data

Dec04Dec05Dec06Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13
DSRI 1.0760.85820.91661.07630.82741.19220.93240.86130.97571.0207
GMI 0.87070.99491.24790.84681.10311.06720.89721.03550.95020.8655
AQI 0.79010.76460.76460.95560.99481.13260.97550.90031.09410.9964
SGI 1.21511.07361.02710.96970.99210.83651.15531.2090.9220.9308
DEPI 1.01420.96571.04941.08541.00441.06821.02630.94841.12191.0012
SGAI 0.98330.94520.90451.06640.94891.10540.9470.91991.00781.0901
LVGI 1.01961.0571.07870.79331.11880.98151.07220.98720.98941.0611
TATA -0.0297-0.0369-0.0380.03530.0522-0.1121-0.0603-0.0193-0.0395-0.0098
M-score -2.51-2.83-2.68-2.30-2.38-2.89-2.76-2.52-2.73-2.68

Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co Quarterly Data

Mar12Jun12Sep12Dec12Mar13Jun13Sep13Dec13Mar14Jun14
DSRI 0.8670.8420.90850.97570.96481.01471.00021.02071.02241.0458
GMI 1.02331.01621.03040.95020.91380.90280.86660.86550.86590.8592
AQI 0.98531.02711.10161.09411.05911.04241.05770.99641.06051.083
SGI 1.1471.06520.97630.9220.88710.89420.91510.93080.94310.9433
DEPI 0.99131.04331.10011.12191.0641.0191.01231.00121.00931.0154
SGAI 0.94770.95051.0091.01091.03521.04171.02971.09011.09751.1133
LVGI 1.01211.01260.98550.98941.0841.07661.05661.06111.05971.0441
TATA -0.0023-0.031-0.0569-0.0397-0.0238-0.031-0.0295-0.00980.02550.0319
M-score -2.47-2.68-2.78-2.73-2.77-2.77-2.76-2.68-2.47-2.41
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