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Heartland Payment Systems Inc (NYSE:HPY)
Beneish M-Score
-2.25 (As of Today)

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.

Heartland Payment Systems Inc has a M-score of -2.40 suggests that the company is not a manipulator.

HPY' s 10-Year Beneish M-Score Range
Min: -4.07   Max: -0.71
Current: -2.25

-4.07
-0.71

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Heartland Payment Systems Inc was -0.71. The lowest was -4.07. And the median was -2.75.


Definition

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Heartland Payment Systems Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0812+0.528 * 1.0462+0.404 * 1.4829+0.892 * 1.0824+0.115 * 0.8126
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0143+4.679 * -0.0423-0.327 * 1.2105
=-2.40

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

This Year (Dec14) TTM:Last Year (Dec13) TTM:
Accounts Receivable was $234 Mil.
Revenue was 604.613 + 600.626 + 582.859 + 523.283 = $2,311 Mil.
Gross Profit was 86.094 + 79.792 + 73.305 + 70.848 = $310 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $541 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,388 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $154 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $48 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $191 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $525 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $523 Mil.
Net Income was -19.771 + 20.458 + 17.452 + 15.74 = $34 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -4.313 + 3.581 + 0.42 + -0.132 = $-0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 41.469 + 17.306 + 19.016 + 15.206 = $93 Mil.
Accounts Receivable was $200 Mil.
Revenue was 530.38 + 557.129 + 546.624 + 501.239 = $2,135 Mil.
Gross Profit was 73.447 + 76.743 + 76.861 + 72.615 = $300 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $450 Mil.
Total Assets was $900 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $147 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $35 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $174 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $412 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $150 Mil.



1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of days’ sales in receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(234.104 / 2311.381) / (200.04 / 2135.372)
=0.10128317 / 0.09367923
=1.0812

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(79.792 / 2135.372) / (86.094 / 2311.381)
=0.14033433 / 0.13413583
=1.0462

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than plant, property and equipment to total assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (540.591 + 154.303) / 1387.773) / (1 - (449.793 + 147.388) / 900.305)
=0.49927402 / 0.33669034
=1.4829

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2311.381 / 2135.372
=1.0824

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(35.389 / (35.389 + 147.388)) / (48.27 / (48.27 + 154.303))
=0.19361845 / 0.23828447
=0.8126

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(190.554 / 2311.381) / (173.568 / 2135.372)
=0.08244162 / 0.08128232
=1.0143

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((523.122 + 525.448) / 1387.773) / ((150 + 411.973) / 900.305)
=0.75557746 / 0.62420291
=1.2105

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(33.879 - -0.444 - 92.997) / 1387.773
=-0.0423

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Heartland Payment Systems Inc has a M-score of -2.40 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.


Related Terms

Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Heartland Payment Systems Inc Annual Data

Dec05Dec06Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13Dec14
DSRI 1.05250.86970.95540.9720.99691.04590.93621.01211.04531.0812
GMI 0.9410.99640.94650.94971.00681.18970.77130.81960.88381.0462
AQI 0.86610.98830.97541.52440.80780.94181.07571.12530.98071.4829
SGI 1.38481.31411.19761.17591.06941.12331.06991.0141.06061.0824
DEPI 1.06820.96911.26121.08951.07761.00331.11222.14410.95090.8126
SGAI 0.86560.9631.0031.10271.30850.8541.17651.09731.16951.0143
LVGI 0.57520.77271.14711.28041.26340.89950.91921.21150.93231.2105
TATA 0.23210.1313-0.1001-0.09750.02790.1264-0.1016-0.1284-0.0369-0.0423
M-score -0.92-1.63-2.87-2.72-2.49-1.60-3.03-3.06-2.64-2.40

Heartland Payment Systems Inc Quarterly Data

Sep12Dec12Mar13Jun13Sep13Dec13Mar14Jun14Sep14Dec14
DSRI 1.08661.01211.19561.25230.98681.04530.84490.84841.06241.0812
GMI 0.77930.81960.8140.81690.8650.88380.94811.02041.04251.0462
AQI 1.01541.12531.06590.97011.06320.98070.99991.06961.46761.4829
SGI 0.98911.0141.0311.05251.06661.06061.05391.05541.06281.0824
DEPI 1.64732.14411.96481.64121.25010.95090.89030.89140.93420.8126
SGAI 1.17681.09731.17541.2241.20251.16951.05950.97940.9851.0143
LVGI 0.96741.21151.23651.20331.19330.93230.9650.9891.17211.2105
TATA -0.1039-0.1284-0.0848-0.0921-0.0981-0.0369-0.0579-0.0485-0.0067-0.0423
M-score -2.95-3.06-2.74-2.77-3.01-2.64-2.88-2.76-2.25-2.40
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