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Harbinger Group Inc (NYSE:HRG)
Beneish M-Score
-3.15 (As of Today)

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.

Harbinger Group Inc has a M-score of -3.15 suggests that the company is not a manipulator.

HRG' s 10-Year Beneish M-Score Range
Min: -6.49   Max: 537.5
Current: -3.15

-6.49
537.5

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Harbinger Group Inc was 537.50. The lowest was -6.49. And the median was -2.44.


Definition

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Harbinger Group Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.1963+0.528 * 1.0091+0.404 * 1.1163+0.892 * 1.1359+0.115 * 1.1338
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0559+4.679 * -0.0195-0.327 * 1.0523
=-3.15

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

This Year (Jun14) TTM:Last Year (Jun13) TTM:
Accounts Receivable was $665 Mil.
Revenue was 1599.4 + 1341.2 + 1510 + 1500.8 = $5,951 Mil.
Gross Profit was 866.8 + 662 + 774.5 + 742.4 = $3,046 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,027 Mil.
Total Assets was $29,885 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $925 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $287 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,119 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $900 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $5,303 Mil.
Net Income was 98.3 + -75.5 + -26.8 + -190.2 = $-194 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 44 + -8.1 + -58.6 + -181.4 = $-204 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 246.3 + 7.5 + -89.4 + 428.3 = $593 Mil.
Accounts Receivable was $2,982 Mil.
Revenue was 1409.2 + 1411.1 + 1222.3 + 1196.8 = $5,239 Mil.
Gross Profit was 684.1 + 737.4 + 640.2 + 644.1 = $2,706 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,093 Mil.
Total Assets was $27,365 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $999 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $367 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,767 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $843 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $4,554 Mil.



1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of days’ sales in receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(664.9 / 5951.4) / (2982.3 / 5239.4)
=0.11172161 / 0.5692064
=0.1963

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(662 / 5239.4) / (866.8 / 5951.4)
=0.51643318 / 0.51176194
=1.0091

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than plant, property and equipment to total assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3027.4 + 924.5) / 29885.2) / (1 - (5093.2 + 999.4) / 27365)
=0.86776398 / 0.77735794
=1.1163

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5951.4 / 5239.4
=1.1359

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(366.6 / (366.6 + 999.4)) / (286.7 / (286.7 + 924.5))
=0.26837482 / 0.2367074
=1.1338

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2119.4 / 5951.4) / (1767.1 / 5239.4)
=0.35611789 / 0.33727144
=1.0559

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5303.4 + 899.9) / 29885.2) / ((4554.3 + 843.4) / 27365)
=0.20757097 / 0.19724831
=1.0523

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-194.2 - -204.1 - 592.7) / 29885.2
=-0.0195

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Harbinger Group Inc has a M-score of -3.15 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.


Related Terms

Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Harbinger Group Inc Annual Data

Sep94Sep95Sep96Sep97Sep98Sep11Sep12Sep13
DSRI 0.77021.54560.81581.1924
GMI 0.63370.90390.78041.0341
AQI 0.324514.23440.96670.9496
SGI 1.136126.03131.28841.2372
DEPI 1.19890.21870.57652.0642
SGAI 1.00143.70141.11090.8282
LVGI 0.4621.32510.98011.8264
TATA -0.0893-0.0108-0.0159-0.0165
M-score -3.2624.93-2.66-2.29

Harbinger Group Inc Quarterly Data

Mar12Jun12Sep12Dec12Mar13Jun13Sep13Dec13Mar14Jun14
DSRI 0.18250.43150.61381.15875.54955.54331.19240.88630.87530.1963
GMI 0.74030.9210.81860.86670.96290.94741.03411.04221.03921.0091
AQI 1.59741.00750.96670.96860.83770.83660.94960.97041.01751.1163
SGI 6.0452.41441.71231.19941.15451.25571.23721.28521.18971.1359
DEPI 0.44430.67150.57650.92611.92541.74262.06421.92030.91081.1338
SGAI 1.08321.12711.03580.96690.90910.86520.82820.94680.95571.0559
LVGI 0.18780.94160.98011.46481.63141.71431.82641.21541.091.0523
TATA -0.0161-0.0182-0.0159-0.0091-0.008-0.0089-0.0165-0.0177-0.0172-0.0195
M-score 1.48-1.91-2.43-2.441.641.67-2.29-2.36-2.51-3.15
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