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The Hershey Co (The Hershey Co) Beneish M-Score

: -2.46 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.46 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HSY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.79   Med: -2.58   Max: -2.16
Current: -2.46

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Hershey Co was -2.16. The lowest was -2.79. And the median was -2.58.


The Hershey Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Hershey Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.71 -2.56 -2.49 -2.61 -2.46

The Hershey Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.61 -2.69 -2.42 -2.39 -2.46

Competitive Comparison

For the Confectioners subindustry, The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Hershey Co Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Hershey Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



The Hershey Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Hershey Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0807+0.528 * 0.9646+0.404 * 0.9446+0.892 * 1.0716+0.115 * 1.0487
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0168+4.679 * -0.020237-0.327 * 0.9437
=-2.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $824 Mil.
Revenue was 2657.111 + 3029.987 + 2490.28 + 2987.614 = $11,165 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1123.142 + 1360.253 + 1132.099 + 1382.322 = $4,998 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,912 Mil.
Total Assets was $11,903 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,618 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $420 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,454 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,008 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,066 Mil.
Net Income was 349.042 + 518.577 + 406.983 + 587.185 = $1,862 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -94.784 + -37.829 + -84.114 + -3.794 = $-221 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 757.649 + 515.733 + 294.411 + 755.397 = $2,323 Mil.
Total Receivables was $711 Mil.
Revenue was 2652.338 + 2728.153 + 2372.582 + 2666.221 = $10,419 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1144.806 + 1108.5 + 999.999 + 1245.48 = $4,499 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,620 Mil.
Total Assets was $10,949 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,096 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $379 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,252 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,257 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,639 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(823.617 / 11164.992) / (711.203 / 10419.294)
=0.073768 / 0.068258
=1.0807

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4498.785 / 10419.294) / (4997.816 / 11164.992)
=0.431774 / 0.447633
=0.9646

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2912.103 + 3617.654) / 11902.941) / (1 - (2620.406 + 3096.174) / 10948.82)
=0.451417 / 0.477882
=0.9446

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11164.992 / 10419.294
=1.0716

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(378.959 / (378.959 + 3096.174)) / (419.815 / (419.815 + 3617.654))
=0.109049 / 0.10398
=1.0487

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2453.646 / 11164.992) / (2251.908 / 10419.294)
=0.219762 / 0.216129
=1.0168

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4066.221 + 3008.352) / 11902.941) / ((3638.826 + 3257.154) / 10948.82)
=0.594355 / 0.629838
=0.9437

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1861.787 - -220.521 - 2323.19) / 11902.941
=-0.020237

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Hershey Co has a M-score of -2.46 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


The Hershey Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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The Hershey Co (The Hershey Co) Business Description

Address
19 East Chocolate Avenue, Hershey, PA, USA, 17033
Hershey is a leading confectionery manufacturer in the U.S. (around a $25 billion market), controlling around 45% of the domestic chocolate space (per IRI, as cited by Hershey). Beyond its namesake label, the firm's mix has expanded over the last 85 years and now consists of 100 brands, including Reese's, Kit Kat, Kisses, and Ice Breakers. Hershey's products are sold in about 80 countries, albeit with just a high-single-digit percentage of sales coming from markets outside the U.S., including Brazil, India, and Mexico. The firm has sought inorganic opportunities to extend its reach beyond its core confection business, adding Amplify Snack Brands and its Skinny Pop ready-to-eat popcorn to its mix, Pirate Brands, and Dot's Pretzels over the past few years.
Executives
Charles R Raup officer: President, U.S. 19 EAST CHOCOLATE AVENUE, HERSHEY PA 17033
Steven E Voskuil officer: SVP, Chief Financial Officer 5405 WINDWARD PARKWAY, ALPHARETTA GA 30004
Deepak Bhatia officer: SVP, Chief Technology Officer THE HERSHEY COMPANY, 19 EAST CHOCOLATE AVENUE, HERSHEY PA 17033
Pamela M Arway director 601 HAWAII ST., EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Michele Buck officer: SVP, Pres. US Snacks THE HERSHEY COMPANY, 100 CRYSTAL A DRIVE, HERSHEY PA 17033
Hershey Trust Co Trustee In Trust For Milton Hershey School 10 percent owner 100 MANSION ROAD EAST, P O BOX 445, HERSHEY PA 17033
Jason Reiman officer: SVP Chief Supply Chain Officer THE HERSHEY COMPANY, 19 EAST CHOCOLATE AVENUE, HERSHEY PA 17033
Maria T Kraus director THE HERSHEY COMPANY, 19 EAST CHOCOLATE AVENUE, HERSHEY PA 17033
Rohit Grover officer: President, International THE HERSHEY COMPANY, 19 EAST CHOCOLATE AVENUE, HERSHEY PA 17033
Jennifer Mccalman officer: Chief Accounting Officer 19 EAST CHOCOLATE AVENUE, HERSHEY PA 17033
Robert Malcolm director C/O LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A., RUE DU SABLON 2-4, MORGES V8 1110
Anthony J. Palmer director P.O. BOX 619100, DALLAS TX 75261-9100
Hershey Trust Co 10 percent owner 100 MANSION ROAD EAST, HERSHEY PA 17033
Christopher M Scalia officer: SVP, CHRO 19 EAST CHOCOLATE AVENUE, HERSHEY PA 17033
Kristen J Riggs officer: SVP, Chief Growth Officer 19 EAST CHOCOLATE AVENUE, HERSHEY PA 17033