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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of JetBlue Airways Corp was -1.35. The lowest was -3.32. And the median was -2.72.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of JetBlue Airways Corp for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 0.861||+||0.528 * 0.8377||+||0.404 * 0.8207||+||0.892 * 1.0865||+||0.115 * 1.03|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 1.0903||+||4.679 * -0.1011||-||0.327 * 0.8465|
|This Year (Mar16) TTM:||Last Year (Mar15) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $145 Mil.|
Revenue was 1616 + 1594 + 1687 + 1612 = $6,509 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1153 + 1067 + 1092 + 994 = $4,306 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,774 Mil.
Total Assets was $9,062 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $6,722 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $349 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,868 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,474 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $1,332 Mil.
Net Income was 199 + 190 + 198 + 152 = $739 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 585 + 304 + 404 + 362 = $1,655 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $155 Mil.
Revenue was 1523 + 1446 + 1529 + 1493 = $5,991 Mil.
Gross Profit was 961 + 793 + 786 + 780 = $3,320 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,511 Mil.
Total Assets was $8,304 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $6,161 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $330 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,577 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,203 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $1,917 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(145 / 6509)||/||(155 / 5991)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(1067 / 5991)||/||(1153 / 6509)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (1774 + 6722) / 9062)||/||(1 - (1511 + 6161) / 8304)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(330 / (330 + 6161))||/||(349 / (349 + 6722))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(1868 / 6509)||/||(1577 / 5991)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((1332 + 2474) / 9062)||/||((1917 + 2203) / 8304)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(739 - 0||-||1655)||/||9062|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
JetBlue Airways Corp has a M-score of -3.12 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
JetBlue Airways Corp Annual Data
JetBlue Airways Corp Quarterly Data