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Macy's (Macy's) Beneish M-Score

: -2.57 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.57 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Macy's's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

M' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.2   Med: -2.72   Max: -2.35
Current: -2.57

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Macy's was -2.35. The lowest was -3.20. And the median was -2.72.


Macy's Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Macy's's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Macy's Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.68 -3.20 -2.76 -2.54 -2.57

Macy's Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -2.48 -2.37 -2.18 -2.57

Competitive Comparison

For the Department Stores subindustry, Macy's's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Macy's Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Macy's's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Macy's's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Macy's Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Macy's for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0415+0.528 * 0.9781+0.404 * 1.0927+0.892 * 0.9378+0.115 * 0.8601
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0676+4.679 * -0.015019-0.327 * 0.9992
=-2.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan24) TTM:Last Year (Jan23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $293 Mil.
Revenue was 8375 + 5038 + 5280 + 5173 = $23,866 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3299 + 2136 + 2104 + 2185 = $9,724 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,089 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,246 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $7,613 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $897 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $8,509 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,430 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,984 Mil.
Net Income was -70 + 43 + -22 + 155 = $106 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -964 + -8 + 4 + 13 = $-955 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1147 + -113 + 166 + 105 = $1,305 Mil.
Total Receivables was $300 Mil.
Revenue was 8583 + 5467 + 5834 + 5565 = $25,449 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3133 + 2263 + 2412 + 2334 = $10,142 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,853 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,866 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $8,596 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $857 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $8,499 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,861 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,959 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(293 / 23866) / (300 / 25449)
=0.012277 / 0.011788
=1.0415

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(10142 / 25449) / (9724 / 23866)
=0.398523 / 0.407442
=0.9781

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6089 + 7613) / 16246) / (1 - (5853 + 8596) / 16866)
=0.156592 / 0.143306
=1.0927

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=23866 / 25449
=0.9378

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(857 / (857 + 8596)) / (897 / (897 + 7613))
=0.090659 / 0.105405
=0.8601

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(8509 / 23866) / (8499 / 25449)
=0.356532 / 0.333962
=1.0676

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5984 + 4430) / 16246) / ((5959 + 4861) / 16866)
=0.641019 / 0.641527
=0.9992

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(106 - -955 - 1305) / 16246
=-0.015019

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Macy's has a M-score of -2.57 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Macy's (Macy's) Business Description

Address
151 West 34th Street, New York, NY, USA, 10001
Founded in 1858 and based in New York City, Macy's operates about 550 stores under the Macy's nameplate, nearly 60 stores under the Bloomingdale's (full-price and outlet) and Bloomie's nameplates, and 158 freestanding Bluemercury specialty beauty stores. Macy's also operates e-commerce sites and licenses two Bloomingdale's stores in the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait. Women's apparel, accessories, shoes, cosmetics, and fragrances composed 61% of Macy's 2022 sales.
Executives
Adrian V Mitchell officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Paul Griscom officer: Interim Principal Acctg. Offr. C/O MACY'S, INC., 145 PROGRESS PLACE, SPRINGDALE OH 45246
Danielle L. Kirgan officer: Chief Human Resources Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Garcia C Elisa D officer: Chief Legal Officer 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Jeffrey Gennette officer: Chief Merchandising Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Antony Spring officer: Chairman & CEO, Bloomingdale's C/O MACY'S, INC., 7 WEST SEVENTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Naveen K. Chopra director C/O 2160 GOLD STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95002
Emilie Arel director C/O CASPER SLEEP INC., 175 GREENWICH ST., THREE WORLD TRADE CENTER, FLOOR 39, NEW YORK NY 10007
Jill Granoff director LIZ CLAIBORNE, INC., 1441 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10018
Marie A Chandoha director C/O THE CHARLES SCHWAB CORPORATION, 211 MAIN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Ashley Buchanan director C/O THE MICHAELS COMPANIES, INC., 8000 BENT BRANCH DRIVE, IRVING TX 75063
Tracey Zhen director C/O MACY'S, INC., 145 PROGRESS PLACE, SPRINGDALE OH 45246
John T. Harper officer: Chief Operations Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Paul C Varga director 850 DIXIE HIGHWAY, LOUISVILLE KY 40210
Felicia Williams officer: EVP,Controller/Enterprise Risk C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001