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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Macerich Co was 11.38. The lowest was -3.80. And the median was -2.63.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Macerich Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 0.9404||+||0.528 * 0.9365||+||0.404 * 0.9911||+||0.892 * 1.2121||+||0.115 * 1.1447|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 1.0838||+||4.679 * -0.0414||-||0.327 * 0.9615|
|This Year (Sep15) TTM:||Last Year (Sep14) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $123 Mil.|
Revenue was 326.262 + 322.794 + 318.335 + 322.909 = $1,290 Mil.
Gross Profit was 210.3 + 208.678 + 190.203 + 203.748 = $813 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $228 Mil.
Total Assets was $13,350 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $11,031 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $459 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $35 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $616 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $6,826 Mil.
Net Income was 33.597 + 14.395 + 24.611 + 1429.221 = $1,502 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 4.494 + -0.013 + 31.427 + 1501.638 = $1,538 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 140.772 + 110.749 + 162.13 + 103.8 = $517 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $108 Mil.
Revenue was 263.492 + 254.337 + 264.512 + 282.14 = $1,064 Mil.
Gross Profit was 156.632 + 151.576 + 151.364 + 168.522 = $628 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $181 Mil.
Total Assets was $9,206 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $7,571 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $363 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $26 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $407 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $4,931 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(123.067 / 1290.3)||/||(107.968 / 1064.481)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(208.678 / 1064.481)||/||(210.3 / 1290.3)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (227.64 + 11031.476) / 13350.181)||/||(1 - (180.568 + 7570.636) / 9206.108)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(363.123 / (363.123 + 7570.636))||/||(459.443 / (459.443 + 11031.476))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(34.733 / 1290.3)||/||(26.439 / 1064.481)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((6826.158 + 616.262) / 13350.181)||/||((4930.539 + 407.174) / 9206.108)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(1501.824 - 1537.546||-||517.451)||/||13350.181|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Macerich Co has a M-score of -2.56 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Macerich Co Annual Data
Macerich Co Quarterly Data