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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Marriott International Inc was -1.83. The lowest was -3.83. And the median was -2.82.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Marriott International Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 0.9219||+||0.528 * 0.9958||+||0.404 * 1.0079||+||0.892 * 1.0518||+||0.115 * 1.1895|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 0.9786||+||4.679 * -0.0934||-||0.327 * 1.0176|
|This Year (Jun16) TTM:||Last Year (Jun15) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $1,152 Mil.|
Revenue was 3902 + 3772 + 3706 + 3578 = $14,958 Mil.
Gross Profit was 587 + 561 + 530 + 519 = $2,197 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,959 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,650 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,056 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $124 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $668 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,244 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $4,057 Mil.
Net Income was 247 + 219 + 202 + 210 = $878 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 5 + 0 + 10 + 8 = $23 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 465 + 333 + 350 + 328 = $1,476 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $1,188 Mil.
Revenue was 3689 + 3513 + 3559 + 3460 = $14,221 Mil.
Gross Profit was 553 + 521 + 503 + 503 = $2,080 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,906 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,321 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $987 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $141 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $649 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,517 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $3,303 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(1152 / 14958)||/||(1188 / 14221)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(2080 / 14221)||/||(2197 / 14958)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (1959 + 1056) / 6650)||/||(1 - (1906 + 987) / 6321)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(141 / (141 + 987))||/||(124 / (124 + 1056))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(668 / 14958)||/||(649 / 14221)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((4057 + 3244) / 6650)||/||((3303 + 3517) / 6321)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(878 - 23||-||1476)||/||6650|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Marriott International Inc has a M-score of -2.92 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Marriott International Inc Annual Data
Marriott International Inc Quarterly Data