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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Mueller Industries Inc was -1.43. The lowest was -4.05. And the median was -2.50.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Mueller Industries Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 1.0656||+||0.528 * 0.9604||+||0.404 * 1.5889||+||0.892 * 0.9333||+||0.115 * 1.0337|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 1.0286||+||4.679 * -0.0684||-||0.327 * 0.9865|
|This Year (Jun16) TTM:||Last Year (Jun15) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $305 Mil.|
Revenue was 544.071 + 532.809 + 471.983 + 535.184 = $2,084 Mil.
Gross Profit was 88.011 + 86.167 + 60.647 + 68.017 = $303 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $866 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,420 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $298 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $36 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $134 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $218 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $214 Mil.
Net Income was 27.797 + 28.63 + 14.435 + 17.8 = $89 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0.515 + 0.245 + 0.625 + 0.164 = $2 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 31.529 + 10.336 + 64.141 + 78.318 = $184 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $307 Mil.
Revenue was 555.593 + 537.242 + 537.342 + 602.82 = $2,233 Mil.
Gross Profit was 85.228 + 76.408 + 68.453 + 81.542 = $312 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $931 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,345 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $261 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $33 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $140 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $210 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $205 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(305.332 / 2084.047)||/||(307.008 / 2232.997)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(311.631 / 2232.997)||/||(302.842 / 2084.047)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (865.723 + 297.939) / 1420.475)||/||(1 - (930.772 + 261.149) / 1344.958)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(33.188 / (33.188 + 261.149))||/||(36.477 / (36.477 + 297.939))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(134.401 / 2084.047)||/||(140.009 / 2232.997)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((213.646 + 217.95) / 1420.475)||/||((204.75 + 209.501) / 1344.958)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(88.662 - 1.549||-||184.324)||/||1420.475|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Mueller Industries Inc has a M-score of -2.58 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Mueller Industries Inc Annual Data
Mueller Industries Inc Quarterly Data