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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Microsoft Corp was -2.11. The lowest was -3.27. And the median was -2.87.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Microsoft Corp for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 0.9509||+||0.528 * 1.0271||+||0.404 * 0.7895||+||0.892 * 0.9425||+||0.115 * 1.1026|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 0.9818||+||4.679 * -0.1066||-||0.327 * 1.2317|
|This Year (Dec15) TTM:||Last Year (Dec14) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $14,507 Mil.|
Revenue was 23796 + 20379 + 22180 + 21729 = $88,084 Mil.
Gross Profit was 13924 + 13172 + 14712 + 14568 = $56,376 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $127,812 Mil.
Total Assets was $180,098 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $15,789 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $6,013 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $19,448 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $42,643 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $40,679 Mil.
Net Income was 4998 + 4620 + -3195 + 4985 = $11,408 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -62 + -230 + 346 + -26 = $28 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 5598 + 8594 + 6816 + 9570 = $30,578 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $16,186 Mil.
Revenue was 26470 + 23201 + 23382 + 20403 = $93,456 Mil.
Gross Profit was 16334 + 14928 + 15749 + 14425 = $61,436 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $116,362 Mil.
Total Assets was $174,848 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $13,607 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $5,946 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $21,016 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $47,415 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $18,260 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(14507 / 88084)||/||(16186 / 93456)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(13172 / 93456)||/||(13924 / 88084)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (127812 + 15789) / 180098)||/||(1 - (116362 + 13607) / 174848)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(5946 / (5946 + 13607))||/||(6013 / (6013 + 15789))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(19448 / 88084)||/||(21016 / 93456)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((40679 + 42643) / 180098)||/||((18260 + 47415) / 174848)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(11408 - 28||-||30578)||/||180098|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Microsoft Corp has a M-score of -3.21 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Microsoft Corp Annual Data
Microsoft Corp Quarterly Data