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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Natures Sunshine Products Inc was -1.61. The lowest was -3.41. And the median was -2.59.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Natures Sunshine Products Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 0.9023||+||0.528 * 1.023||+||0.404 * 1.1786||+||0.892 * 0.8832||+||0.115 * 1.5392|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 1.0011||+||4.679 * -0.009||-||0.327 * 0.9166|
|This Year (Sep15) TTM:||Last Year (Sep14) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $7.3 Mil.|
Revenue was 79.586 + 81.247 + 83.878 + 86.663 = $331.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was 58.943 + 60.179 + 61.997 + 63.195 = $244.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $104.8 Mil.
Total Assets was $196.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $65.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $4.2 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $231.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $51.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $0.0 Mil.
Net Income was 2.766 + 2.561 + 5.667 + -3.897 = $7.1 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -0.247 + -0.002 + -0.318 + 0.608 = $0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 5.049 + 4.055 + -0.926 + 0.641 = $8.8 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $9.2 Mil.
Revenue was 93.406 + 92.831 + 93.467 + 95.484 = $375.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was 70.664 + 70.038 + 70.886 + 71.4 = $283.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $139.5 Mil.
Total Assets was $209.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $45.4 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $4.7 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $262.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $60.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $0.0 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(7.319 / 331.374)||/||(9.184 / 375.188)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(60.179 / 375.188)||/||(58.943 / 331.374)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (104.759 + 65.083) / 196.683)||/||(1 - (139.538 + 45.373) / 209.126)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(4.697 / (4.697 + 45.373))||/||(4.224 / (4.224 + 65.083))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(231.828 / 331.374)||/||(262.183 / 375.188)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((0 + 51.727) / 196.683)||/||((0 + 60.002) / 209.126)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(7.097 - 0.041||-||8.819)||/||196.683|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Natures Sunshine Products Inc has a M-score of -2.54 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Natures Sunshine Products Inc Annual Data
Natures Sunshine Products Inc Quarterly Data