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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Noble Corp PLC was 9.08. The lowest was -3.59. And the median was -2.63.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Noble Corp PLC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 0.6485||+||0.528 * 0.8359||+||0.404 * 0.6149||+||0.892 * 1.0092||+||0.115 * 1.0237|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 0.6814||+||4.679 * -0.0993||-||0.327 * 0.8808|
* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.
|This Year (Jun16) TTM:||Last Year (Jun15) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $354 Mil.|
Revenue was 894.783 + 611.973 + 857.684 + 896.671 = $3,261 Mil.
Gross Profit was 636.309 + 344.719 + 544.495 + 585.821 = $2,111 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,331 Mil.
Total Assets was $12,739 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $11,276 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $622 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $69 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $796 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $3,829 Mil.
Net Income was 322.866 + 105.485 + -152.241 + 325.807 = $602 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 11.066 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $11 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 686.756 + 174.801 + 510.126 + 484.347 = $1,856 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $540 Mil.
Revenue was 793.555 + 804.342 + 804.74 + 828.796 = $3,231 Mil.
Gross Profit was 456.696 + 462.435 + 400.183 + 429.481 = $1,749 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,010 Mil.
Total Assets was $13,205 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $11,970 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $677 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $100 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $954 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $4,489 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(353.677 / 3261.111)||/||(540.423 / 3231.433)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(1748.795 / 3231.433)||/||(2111.344 / 3261.111)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (1330.576 + 11276.006) / 12739.444)||/||(1 - (1010.304 + 11970.445) / 13204.716)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(676.509 / (676.509 + 11970.445))||/||(621.709 / (621.709 + 11276.006))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(69.054 / 3261.111)||/||(100.416 / 3231.433)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((3829.416 + 795.56) / 12739.444)||/||((4488.541 + 953.894) / 13204.716)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(601.917 - 11.066||-||1856.03)||/||12739.444|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Noble Corp PLC has a M-score of -3.41 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
Noble Corp PLC Annual Data
Noble Corp PLC Quarterly Data