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National Grid PLC (NYSE:NGG)
Beneish M-Score
0.00 (As of Today)

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.

National Grid PLC has a M-score of signals that the company is a manipulator.

NGG' s 10-Year Beneish M-Score Range
Min: -3.09   Max: -0.89
Current: 0

-3.09
-0.89

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of National Grid PLC was -0.89. The lowest was -3.09. And the median was -2.53.


Definition

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of National Grid PLC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * +0.528 * +0.404 * +0.892 * +0.115 *
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * +4.679 * -0.327 *
=

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

This Year (Mar14) TTM:Last Year (Mar13) TTM:
Accounts Receivable was $2,683 Mil.
Revenue was $24,806 Mil.
Gross Profit was $6,256 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $12,544 Mil.
Total Assets was $87,745 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $62,276 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,374 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $12,280 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $37,586 Mil.
Net Income was $4,147 Mil.
Non Operating Income was $213 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $6,732 Mil.
Accounts Receivable was $2,029 Mil.
Revenue was $21,989 Mil.
Gross Profit was $5,749 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $14,665 Mil.
Total Assets was $83,775 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $56,037 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,084 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $11,401 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $37,744 Mil.



1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of days’ sales in receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2683.41708543 / 24805.6951424) / (2029.09647779 / 21989.280245)
=0.10817746 / 0.09227662
=

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=( / 21989.280245) / ( / 24805.6951424)
=0.26143882 / 0.25221149
=

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than plant, property and equipment to total assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (12544.3886097 + 62276.3819095) / 87745.3936348) / (1 - (14664.6248086 + 56036.7534456) / 83774.8851455)
=0.14729688 / 0.15605521
=

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=24805.6951424 / 21989.280245
=

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2084.22664625 / (2084.22664625 + 56036.7534456)) / (2373.53433836 / (2373.53433836 + 62276.3819095))
=0.03586014 / 0.03671365
=

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 24805.6951424) / (0 / 21989.280245)
=0 / 0
=

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((37586.2646566 + 12279.7319933) / 87745.3936348) / ((37744.2572741 + 11401.2251149) / 83774.8851455)
=0.5683033 / 0.58663742
=

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4147.40368509 - 212.730318258 - 6731.99329983) / 87745.3936348
=-0.0319

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

National Grid PLC has a M-score of signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Related Terms

Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

National Grid PLC Annual Data

Mar05Mar06Mar07Mar08Mar09Mar10Mar11Mar12Mar13Mar14
DSRI 1.54310.86470.96110.94210.4374
GMI 1.76381.34470.77870.92871.7693
AQI 1.20430.86660.95420.99870.9955
SGI 1.07451.01320.93131.09270.9428
DEPI 1.08631.07280.98680.98871.0233
SGAI 00.90081.08361.04210
LVGI 1.03191.06990.96460.880.9609
TATA -0.0552-0.0537-0.0731-0.0592-0.0465
M-score -1.51-2.71-3.06-2.74-2.67
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