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Newell Rubbermaid Inc (NYSE:NWL)
Beneish M-Score
-2.56 (As of Today)

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.

Newell Rubbermaid Inc has a M-score of -2.56 suggests that the company is not a manipulator.

NWL' s 10-Year Beneish M-Score Range
Min: -3.37   Max: -1.46
Current: -2.56

-3.37
-1.46

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Newell Rubbermaid Inc was -1.46. The lowest was -3.37. And the median was -2.60.


Definition

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Newell Rubbermaid Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0793+0.528 * 0.9768+0.404 * 1.0291+0.892 * 1.0155+0.115 * 1.0386
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0575+4.679 * -0.025-0.327 * 1.1227
=-2.56

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

This Year (Sep14) TTM:Last Year (Sep13) TTM:
Accounts Receivable was $1,158 Mil.
Revenue was 1484.5 + 1521 + 1232.2 + 1550.8 = $5,789 Mil.
Gross Profit was 576.7 + 608.4 + 469.3 + 595 = $2,249 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,377 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,349 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $525 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $154 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,538 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,189 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $1,419 Mil.
Net Income was 122.3 + 150.6 + 52.9 + 117.3 = $443 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -7.7 + 2.6 + -40 + -0.6 = $-46 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 339.2 + 96.2 + -92.1 + 304.2 = $648 Mil.
Accounts Receivable was $1,057 Mil.
Revenue was 1466.1 + 1474.7 + 1240.8 + 1518.8 = $5,700 Mil.
Gross Profit was 552.5 + 582.7 + 473.6 + 555 = $2,164 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,384 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,153 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $523 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $161 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,432 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,443 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $1,671 Mil.



1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of days’ sales in receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1158.3 / 5788.5) / (1056.9 / 5700.4)
=0.20010365 / 0.18540804
=1.0793

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(608.4 / 5700.4) / (576.7 / 5788.5)
=0.3795874 / 0.38859808
=0.9768

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than plant, property and equipment to total assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2377.4 + 525.3) / 6349.2) / (1 - (2384.2 + 523.1) / 6152.9)
=0.54282429 / 0.5274911
=1.0291

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5788.5 / 5700.4
=1.0155

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(161 / (161 + 523.1)) / (153.9 / (153.9 + 525.3))
=0.23534571 / 0.22659011
=1.0386

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1537.7 / 5788.5) / (1432 / 5700.4)
=0.2656474 / 0.25121044
=1.0575

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1418.7 + 2188.7) / 6349.2) / ((1671.1 + 1442.8) / 6152.9)
=0.56816607 / 0.50608656
=1.1227

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(443.1 - -45.7 - 647.5) / 6349.2
=-0.025

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Newell Rubbermaid Inc has a M-score of -2.56 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator.


Related Terms

Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their own currency.

Newell Rubbermaid Inc Annual Data

Dec04Dec05Dec06Dec07Dec08Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13
DSRI 1.01791.00080.9471.01370.82291.07011.08090.98611.1031.0301
GMI 0.95210.93790.89480.94761.07360.8930.97491.00240.99570.9869
AQI 0.96791.32371.05031.02261.10911.02811.02490.96120.96990.9809
SGI 0.87080.93990.97771.03331.00990.8621.03261.01831.00650.9644
DEPI 0.85290.88650.87761.00540.90810.96860.94661.08351.00230.9941
SGAI 1.07791.06051.08861.02811.03991.06121.0311.01690.99730.9858
LVGI 0.98571.01770.93490.9181.13110.9230.99090.96730.93511.0216
TATA -0.062-0.0588-0.04-0.0275-0.0219-0.0733-0.0123-0.0678-0.0333-0.0185
M-score -2.93-2.74-2.78-2.56-2.71-2.92-2.45-2.79-2.53-2.59

Newell Rubbermaid Inc Quarterly Data

Jun12Sep12Dec12Mar13Jun13Sep13Dec13Mar14Jun14Sep14
DSRI 0.95991.09261.11351.10991.12281.01461.0230.96731.01231.0793
GMI 0.99460.98580.99140.99630.99420.99960.98230.98170.98590.9768
AQI 0.92650.97730.96990.97220.99550.99030.98091.0121.01311.0291
SGI 1.01060.99740.9970.97660.97890.96960.97110.9851.00011.0155
DEPI 1.03891.02051.00230.96560.96690.97010.99411.02181.05161.0386
SGAI 0.99891.00531.00230.9890.97790.96420.99361.00821.01841.0575
LVGI 1.01710.95590.93510.96960.94570.91691.02160.98651.00041.1227
TATA -0.0803-0.0393-0.0333-0.0231-0.0159-0.0132-0.0185-0.0196-0.0187-0.025
M-score -2.92-2.58-2.53-2.51-2.45-2.53-2.59-2.61-2.56-2.56
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