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Allison Transmission Holdings (Allison Transmission Holdings) Beneish M-Score : -2.63 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Allison Transmission Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.63 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Allison Transmission Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ALSN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.88   Med: -2.64   Max: -2.39
Current: -2.63

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Allison Transmission Holdings was -2.39. The lowest was -2.88. And the median was -2.64.


Allison Transmission Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Allison Transmission Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Allison Transmission Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Allison Transmission Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.78 -2.77 -2.40 -2.39 -2.63

Allison Transmission Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.39 -2.47 -2.58 -2.64 -2.63

Competitive Comparison of Allison Transmission Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Allison Transmission Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Allison Transmission Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Allison Transmission Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Allison Transmission Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Allison Transmission Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Allison Transmission Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8948+0.528 * 0.9671+0.404 * 0.9203+0.892 * 1.0961+0.115 * 1.0079
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.993+4.679 * -0.025075-0.327 * 0.9349
=-2.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $356 Mil.
Revenue was 775 + 736 + 783 + 741 = $3,035 Mil.
Gross Profit was 371 + 357 + 381 + 361 = $1,470 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,250 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,025 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $579 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $154 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $357 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $501 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,497 Mil.
Net Income was 170 + 158 + 175 + 170 = $673 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 5 + -2 + 2 + 10 = $15 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 238 + 212 + 141 + 193 = $784 Mil.
Total Receivables was $363 Mil.
Revenue was 718 + 710 + 664 + 677 = $2,769 Mil.
Gross Profit was 338 + 328 + 311 + 320 = $1,297 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $866 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,671 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $577 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $155 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $328 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $480 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,501 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(356 / 3035) / (363 / 2769)
=0.117298 / 0.131094
=0.8948

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1297 / 2769) / (1470 / 3035)
=0.4684 / 0.484349
=0.9671

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1250 + 579) / 5025) / (1 - (866 + 577) / 4671)
=0.63602 / 0.691073
=0.9203

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3035 / 2769
=1.0961

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(155 / (155 + 577)) / (154 / (154 + 579))
=0.211749 / 0.210095
=1.0079

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(357 / 3035) / (328 / 2769)
=0.117628 / 0.118454
=0.993

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2497 + 501) / 5025) / ((2501 + 480) / 4671)
=0.596617 / 0.638193
=0.9349

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(673 - 15 - 784) / 5025
=-0.025075

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Allison Transmission Holdings has a M-score of -2.63 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Allison Transmission Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Allison Transmission Holdings (Allison Transmission Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Allison Way, Indianapolis, IN, USA, 46222
Allison Transmission is the largest manufacturer of fully automatic transmissions for commercial vehicles. The company's automatic transmissions allow customers to achieve better fuel and operator efficiency than less expensive manual and automated manual transmissions. Allison serves several end markets, including on- and off-highway equipment and military vehicles. Its on-highway business has approximately 60% global market share. The company's transmissions can be found in Class 4 through Class 8 trucks, buses, and a limited number of large passenger vehicles (heavy-duty pickup trucks and motor homes). Allison also produces electric hybrid propulsion systems and is developing e-powertrains.
Executives
John Coll officer: SVP, Global MSS ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
G Frederick Bohley officer: SVP, CFO & Treasurer ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
Niekerk Teresa Van officer: VP, Global Purchasing & SQ ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
Ryan A. Milburn officer: VP, Product Engineering ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
Thomas Eifert officer: VP, Program Mgmt & Prod Pln ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
Eric C. Scroggins officer: VP, Gen. Counsel and Secretary ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
David S. Graziosi officer: Exec VP, CFO and Treasurer ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
Gustave Perna director ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
Philip J Christman director 3240 S. CENTRAL AVENUE, CICERO IL 60804
Krishna Shivram director C/O WEATHERFORD INTERNATIONAL PLC, 2000 ST JAMES PLACE, HOUSTON TX 77056
Sasha Ostojic director ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
D. Scott Barbour director C/O ADVANCED DRAINAGE SYSTEMS, INC., 4640 TRUEMAN BOULEVARD, HILLIARD OH 43026
Rafael Basso officer: VP, Operations ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222
Carolann I Haznedar director 350 POPLAR CHURCH ROAD, CAMP HILL PA 17011
Dana Jh Pittard officer: VP, Defense Programs ONE ALLISON WAY, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46222