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Tredegar (Tredegar) Beneish M-Score

: -2.56 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.56 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tredegar's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.62   Med: -2.58   Max: -2.12
Current: -2.56

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Tredegar was -2.12. The lowest was -3.62. And the median was -2.58.


Tredegar Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tredegar's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tredegar Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.24 -3.62 -2.40 -2.16 -2.56

Tredegar Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.16 -2.69 -2.82 -3.30 -2.56

Competitive Comparison

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Tredegar's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tredegar Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Tredegar's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tredegar's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Tredegar Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Tredegar for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0793+0.528 * 1.3301+0.404 * 0.9128+0.892 * 0.751+0.115 * 0.9375
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2702+4.679 * 0.005824-0.327 * 1.1355
=-2.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $69.1 Mil.
Revenue was 169.344 + 166.192 + 178.167 + 191.122 = $704.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was 20.61 + 14.92 + 17.701 + 25.554 = $78.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $176.7 Mil.
Total Assets was $446.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $195.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $27.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $89.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $249.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $30.9 Mil.
Net Income was -35.591 + -50.38 + -18.922 + -1.009 = $-105.9 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -67.501 + -49.774 + -15.433 + 0.211 = $-132.5 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -20.243 + 21.54 + 31.806 + -9.108 = $24.0 Mil.
Total Receivables was $85.3 Mil.
Revenue was 189.149 + 238.486 + 274.363 + 236.566 = $938.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was 20.674 + 28.404 + 45.239 + 45.225 = $139.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $242.6 Mil.
Total Assets was $542.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $200.4 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $26.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $93.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $149.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $149.7 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(69.12 / 704.825) / (85.277 / 938.564)
=0.098067 / 0.090859
=1.0793

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(139.542 / 938.564) / (78.785 / 704.825)
=0.148676 / 0.11178
=1.3301

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (176.677 + 195.303) / 446.461) / (1 - (242.584 + 200.432) / 542.093)
=0.166825 / 0.182768
=0.9128

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=704.825 / 938.564
=0.751

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(26.402 / (26.402 + 200.432)) / (27.683 / (27.683 + 195.303))
=0.116393 / 0.124147
=0.9375

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(89.051 / 704.825) / (93.36 / 938.564)
=0.126345 / 0.099471
=1.2702

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((30.942 + 249.104) / 446.461) / ((149.738 + 149.713) / 542.093)
=0.627257 / 0.552398
=1.1355

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-105.902 - -132.497 - 23.995) / 446.461
=0.005824

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Tredegar has a M-score of -2.56 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Tredegar Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Tredegar (Tredegar) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1100 Boulders Parkway, Richmond, VA, USA, 23225
Tredegar Corp through its subsidiaries engaged in the manufacture of Polyethylene Plastic films, Polyester Films, and Aluminum Extrusions. Polyethylene Plastic films manufacture plastic films, elastics and laminate materials which are utilized in personal care materials, surface protection films, and specialty and optical lighting applications. It operates through PE Films, Flexible Packaging Films, and Aluminum Extrusions segments. Aluminum Extrusions produce high-quality, soft-alloy and medium-strength aluminum use for building and construction, automotive, consumer durables, machinery and equipment, electrical and distribution markets. It generates revenue from the United States, Asia, and Brazil.
Executives
James T. Gottwald 10 percent owner 3600 RIVER ROAD WEST, GOOCHLAND VA 23063
Kevin Cyril Donnelly officer: Vice President and Secretary 1100 BOULDERS PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23225
Anne G Waleski director 1508 WEST AVENUE, RICHMOND VA 23220
Michael Jay Schewel officer: Vice President and Secretary C/O MARKEL CORPORATION, 4521 HIGHWOODS PARKWAY, GLEN ALLEN VA 23060
Brickhouse Frasier W Ii other: Controller 1100 BOULDERS PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23225
Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al 10 percent owner 191 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
John M Steitz director ALBEMARLE CORP, 451 FLORIDA ST, BATON ROUGE LA 70801
William M Gottwald director ALBERMARLE CORP, PO BOX 2189, RICHMOND VA 23218
Associated Capital Group, Inc. 10 percent owner 191 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
A Brent King officer: Vice President and Secretary 4951 LAKE BROOK DR, STE 500, GLEN ALLEN VA 23060
Mary Jane Hellyar officer: Vice President 1100 BOULDERS PARKWAY, RICHMOND VA 23225
Ggcp, Inc. 10 percent owner 189 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Mario J Gabelli 10 percent owner 191 MASON STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Gottwald Floyd D Jr director 330 SOUTH FOURTH STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
John D Gottwald director 207 WOOD ROAD, TREDEGAR CORP, 1100 BOULDERS PARKWAY VA 23225