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Textron (Textron) Beneish M-Score

: -2.61 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.61 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Textron's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TXT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.89   Med: -2.64   Max: -2.48
Current: -2.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Textron was -2.48. The lowest was -2.89. And the median was -2.64.


Textron Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Textron's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Textron Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.58 -2.50 -2.89 -2.69 -2.61

Textron Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.58 -2.58 -2.56 -2.61

Competitive Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Textron's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Textron Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Textron's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Textron's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Textron Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Textron for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9637+0.528 * 0.9657+0.404 * 1.0071+0.892 * 1.0633+0.115 * 0.9885
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9714+4.679 * -0.027053-0.327 * 1.057
=-2.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,453 Mil.
Revenue was 3892 + 3343 + 3424 + 3024 = $13,683 Mil.
Gross Profit was 643 + 564 + 578 + 493 = $2,278 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $8,405 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,856 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,477 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $395 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,225 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,378 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,517 Mil.
Net Income was 198 + 269 + 263 + 191 = $921 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -66 + 59 + 59 + 59 = $111 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 549 + 258 + 296 + 163 = $1,266 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,418 Mil.
Revenue was 3636 + 3078 + 3154 + 3001 = $12,869 Mil.
Gross Profit was 553 + 494 + 513 + 509 = $2,069 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $8,036 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,293 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,523 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $397 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,186 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,670 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,550 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1453 / 13683) / (1418 / 12869)
=0.10619 / 0.110187
=0.9637

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2069 / 12869) / (2278 / 13683)
=0.160774 / 0.166484
=0.9657

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8405 + 2477) / 16856) / (1 - (8036 + 2523) / 16293)
=0.354414 / 0.35193
=1.0071

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=13683 / 12869
=1.0633

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(397 / (397 + 2523)) / (395 / (395 + 2477))
=0.135959 / 0.137535
=0.9885

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1225 / 13683) / (1186 / 12869)
=0.089527 / 0.092159
=0.9714

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3517 + 4378) / 16856) / ((3550 + 3670) / 16293)
=0.468379 / 0.443135
=1.057

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(921 - 111 - 1266) / 16856
=-0.027053

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Textron has a M-score of -2.61 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Textron Beneish M-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Textron's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Textron (Textron) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
40 Westminster Street, Providence, RI, USA, 02903
Textron is a conglomerate that mostly designs, manufactures, and services a range of specialty aircraft including small jets, propeller-driven airplanes, helicopters, and tilt-rotor aircraft. The firm's aviation segment manufactures and services Cessna and Beechcraft planes. Bell is a helicopter and tilt-rotor manufacturer and servicer for both commercial and military customers. Textron Systems produces uncrewed aircraft and armored vehicles for the military market as well as aircraft simulators and training for the commercial and military markets. Textron Industrial contains the Kautex business that manufactures plastic fuel tanks for conventional and hybrid motor vehicles and other subsidiaries that produce specialized vehicles such as golf carts, snowmobiles, and all-terrain vehicles.
Executives
R Kerry Clark director C/O THE PROCTER & GAMBLE COMPANY, ONE PROCTER & GAMBLE PLAZA, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Michael X Garrett director 6521 CHIPSTEAD LANE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Frank T Connor officer: Executive VP and CFO 40 WESTMINSTER STREET, PROVIDENCE RI 02903
Scott C Donnelly officer: Executive VP and COO
Thomas A Kennedy director 870 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Richard F Ambrose director 6801 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE, BETHESDA MD 20817
Mark S Bamford officer: VP and Corporate Controller 40 WESTMINSTER STREET, PROVIDENCE RI 02903
E Robert Lupone officer: EVP, General Counsel and Secy 40 WESTMINSTER STREET, PROVIDENCE RI 02903
Kathleen M Bader director 2030 DOW CENTER, MIDLAND MI 49640
Nowell Lionel L Iii director 401 NORTH MAIN STREET, WINSTON-SALEM NC 27101
Julie G Duffy officer: Executive VP - Human Resources 40 WESTMINSTER STREET, PROVIDENCE RI 02903
Deborah L James director 1710 SAIC DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Ralph D Heath director 6801 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE, BETHESDA MD 20817
Maria T Zuber director 40 WESTMINSTER STREET, PROVIDENCE RI 02903
Cheryl H Johnson officer: Executive VP, Human Resources 40 WESTMINSTER STREET, PROVIDENCE RI 02903

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