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Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV (Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV) Beneish M-Score

: -3.44 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.44 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

VLRS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -13   Med: -3.19   Max: -1.15
Current: -3.44

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV was -1.15. The lowest was -13.00. And the median was -3.19.


Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.17 -13.00 -3.20 -1.35 -3.44

Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.35 -1.94 -3.04 -3.23 -3.44

Competitive Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9123+0.528 * 0.5491+0.404 * 0.881+0.892 * 1.1458+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7075+4.679 * -0.133307-0.327 * 1.0043
=-3.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $251 Mil.
Revenue was 899 + 848 + 782 + 731 = $3,260 Mil.
Gross Profit was 243 + 116 + 118 + 29 = $506 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,248 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,161 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,158 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $167 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,621 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,966 Mil.
Net Income was 112 + -39 + 6 + -71 = $8 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -4 + -21 + 5 + -14 = $-34 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 218 + 145 + 159 + 208 = $730 Mil.
Total Receivables was $240 Mil.
Revenue was 820.19 + 769 + 690 + 566 = $2,845 Mil.
Gross Profit was 126.495 + 86 + 20 + 10 = $242 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,066 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,468 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,660 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $206 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,420 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,534 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(251 / 3260) / (240.126 / 2845.19)
=0.076994 / 0.084397
=0.9123

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(242.495 / 2845.19) / (506 / 3260)
=0.08523 / 0.155215
=0.5491

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1248 + 3158) / 5161) / (1 - (1066.078 + 2659.702) / 4467.653)
=0.146289 / 0.166054
=0.881

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3260 / 2845.19
=1.1458

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 2659.702)) / (0 / (0 + 3158))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(167 / 3260) / (206 / 2845.19)
=0.051227 / 0.072403
=0.7075

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2966 + 1621) / 5161) / ((2533.99 + 1419.74) / 4467.653)
=0.888781 / 0.884968
=1.0043

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(8 - -34 - 730) / 5161
=-0.133307

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV has a M-score of -3.29 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV (Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Av. Antonio Dovali Jaime Number 70, 13th Floor, Tower B, Colonia Zedec Santa Fe, Mexico, DF, MEX, 01210
Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion SAB de CV is a low-cost airline flying to Mexico, the United States, Central and South America. It currently operates up to 500 average daily flight segments on routes that connect 44 cities in Mexico as well as 22 cities in the United States, four in Central America and two in South America. It uses promotional fares to stimulate demand and the base fares are priced to compete with long-distance bus fares in Mexico. Revenues from the air transportation of passengers are recognized earlier when the service is provided or when the non-refundable ticket expires at the date of the scheduled travel. Non-passenger revenues include revenues generated from other non-passenger revenues and cargo services.