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TAL Education Group (TAL Education Group) Beneish M-Score

: -2.94 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.94 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for TAL Education Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TAL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.13   Med: -1.67   Max: 4.93
Current: -2.94

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of TAL Education Group was 4.93. The lowest was -4.13. And the median was -1.67.


TAL Education Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for TAL Education Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

TAL Education Group Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.39 -3.21 -2.93 -2.97 0.12

TAL Education Group Quarterly Data
Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.04 0.12 -1.18 -2.22 -2.94

Competitive Comparison

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, TAL Education Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TAL Education Group Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, TAL Education Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TAL Education Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



TAL Education Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of TAL Education Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9354+0.528 * 1.1225+0.404 * 0.799+0.892 * 1.0294+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9827+4.679 * -0.069033-0.327 * 1.2804
=-2.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Nov23) TTM:Last Year (Nov22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $0 Mil.
Revenue was 373.506 + 411.931 + 275.44 + 268.986 = $1,330 Mil.
Gross Profit was 200.326 + 242.549 + 135.927 + 141.273 = $720 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,644 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,913 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $583 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $835 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,131 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $156 Mil.
Net Income was -23.946 + 37.902 + -45.037 + -39.417 = $-70 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 11.054 + -25.729 + -6.845 + 1.248 = $-20 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 247.123 + -42.721 + 125.516 + -40.961 = $289 Mil.
Total Receivables was $0 Mil.
Revenue was 232.681 + 294.06 + 224.045 + 541.152 = $1,292 Mil.
Gross Profit was 129.726 + 176.928 + 135.487 + 343.068 = $785 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,503 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,757 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $422 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $826 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $855 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $118 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0.404 / 1329.863) / (0.42 / 1291.938)
=0.000304 / 0.000325
=0.9354

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(785.209 / 1291.938) / (720.075 / 1329.863)
=0.607776 / 0.541466
=1.1225

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3643.839 + 583.216) / 4913.323) / (1 - (3503.281 + 421.965) / 4756.828)
=0.139675 / 0.174819
=0.799

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1329.863 / 1291.938
=1.0294

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 421.965)) / (0 / (0 + 583.216))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(835.284 / 1329.863) / (825.74 / 1291.938)
=0.628098 / 0.639148
=0.9827

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((156.282 + 1131.218) / 4913.323) / ((118.063 + 855.469) / 4756.828)
=0.262043 / 0.20466
=1.2804

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-70.498 - -20.272 - 288.957) / 4913.323
=-0.069033

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

TAL Education Group has a M-score of -2.94 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


TAL Education Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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TAL Education Group (TAL Education Group) Business Description

Address
Xiaoying West Street, 5th Floor, Tower B, Heying Center, Haidian District, Beijing, CHN, 100085
TAL Education Group is a smart learning solutions provider in China. K-9 academic afterschool tutoring used to account for the majority of TAL's revenue before the regulatory changes in 2021 that imposed a nonprofit requirement on the business. After spinning off its K-9 academic afterschool tutoring business, TAL realigned its focus toward enrichment learning, content solutions, and learning technology solutions.

TAL Education Group (TAL Education Group) Headlines

From GuruFocus

TAL Education Group Files Its Annual Report on Form 20-F

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 05-31-2023