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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of ORBCOMM Inc was 17.30. The lowest was -3.09. And the median was -2.18.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Z-Score) or business trend (F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of ORBCOMM Inc for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
|M||=||-4.84||+||0.92 * DSRI||+||0.528 * GMI||+||0.404 * AQI||+||0.892 * SGI||+||0.115 * DEPI|
|=||-4.84||+||0.92 * 0.6939||+||0.528 * 1.0038||+||0.404 * 2.7801||+||0.892 * 1.8525||+||0.115 * 0.5474|
|-||0.172 * SGAI||+||4.679 * TATA||-||0.327 * LVGI|
|-||0.172 * 0.7733||+||4.679 * -0.0753||-||0.327 * 1.0305|
|This Year (Dec15) TTM:||Last Year (Dec14) TTM:|
|Accounts Receivable was $29.8 Mil.|
Revenue was 44.996 + 46.084 + 44.883 + 42.33 = $178.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was 23.424 + 21.894 + 21.775 + 20.678 = $87.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $84.8 Mil.
Total Assets was $526.9 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $230.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $26.6 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $44.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $45.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $150.0 Mil.
Net Income was 0.239 + 1.591 + -12.208 + -2.873 = $-13.3 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0.032 + -0.085 + 0.204 + 0.188 = $0.3 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 14.898 + 3.85 + 2.516 + 4.819 = $26.1 Mil.
|Accounts Receivable was $23.2 Mil.
Revenue was 29.468 + 23.126 + 24.298 + 19.35 = $96.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was 11.873 + 12.311 + 13.121 + 10.253 = $47.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $252.6 Mil.
Total Assets was $506.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $180.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $10.9 Mil.
Selling, General & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $31.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $32.6 Mil.
Long-Term Debt was $150.0 Mil.
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
|DSRI||=||(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)||/||(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)|
|=||(29.816 / 178.293)||/||(23.194 / 96.242)|
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
|=||(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)||/||(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)|
|=||(21.894 / 96.242)||/||(23.424 / 178.293)|
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
|AQI||=||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||(1 - (84.759 + 229.97) / 526.899)||/||(1 - (252.556 + 180.621) / 506.548)|
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of sales in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of depreciation in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
|DEPI||=||(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))||/||(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))|
|=||(10.856 / (10.856 + 180.621))||/||(26.571 / (26.571 + 229.97))|
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of SGA expenses in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
|SGAI||=||(SGA_t / Sales_t)||/||(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)|
|=||(44.395 / 178.293)||/||(30.989 / 96.242)|
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to total assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage
|LVGI||=||((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)||/||((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)|
|=||((150 + 45.733) / 526.899)||/||((150 + 32.611) / 506.548)|
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
|=||(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t||-||CashFlowsfromOperations_t)||/||TotalAssets_t|
|=||(-13.251 - 0.339||-||26.083)||/||526.899|
An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
ORBCOMM Inc has a M-score of -1.66 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, Accounts Receivable, Revenue, Gross Profit, Total Current Assets, Total Assets, Property, Plant and Equipment, Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization, Selling, General & Admin. Expense, Total Current Liabilities, Long-Term Debt, Net Income, Non Operating Income, Cash Flow from Operations
ORBCOMM Inc Annual Data
ORBCOMM Inc Quarterly Data